Doncaster Racecourse Template – (Saturday 6 November 2021)

The Racing Horse offers their Doncaster Racecourse Template for Saturday 6 November 2021. 

There is an 8-race card including 4 handicaps (one of those an apprentice race), 2 maiden races and 2 Listed races.

The going is expected to be soft.

FAVOURITES – Overall winning favourites at Doncaster show 286-789 for 36.25% and a level stake loss of -19.64 so above the national average! Juvenile favourites in non-handicaps show 108-239 for 45.19% and make a profit to level stakes of +2.79, so good housekeeping could have improved those figures substantially and produced a profit. Worst category is the 4yos+ in handicaps showing 69-262 for 26% (-34.27) which is considerably below the national average.

TRAINERS – William Haggas brings 7 horses to Doncaster and looks almost certain to score, Tim Easterby brings 10 with neighbour Richard Fahey running 6 – could be a big price winner amongst those 16?

On Course Profits free Horse Racing magazine

TRAINER COLD LIST – Two trainers on the cold list are Sir Mark Prescott (25) and David Evans (22) and the suggestion is they will come off the list within the next week or so.

JOCKEYS – Most of our top jockeys are in America riding so these televised races are up for grabs. David Probert is 10-51 for 20% in the last 14 days (has 5 rides), but Tom Marquand is 11-51 for 21% (+25.25) in the same time frame (6 rides). More winners expected. 

JOCKEY COLD LIST – Jack Mitchell is currently 0-26 and has 2 rides tomorrow. Hollie Doyle is having a quiet time recently and now 0-17, she has 6 rides and could surprise at a big price! November shows 2-25 for just 8% against her national average of 14%. She will come back into form and ride a treble soon…

OWNERS – Godolphin are 24% at the course (+0.84) over the past 5 years and 23% all time (147-651 for 23% -20.07 for 5 years, and 147-651 for 23% -20.07 for all time).


11.50
I'M A GAMBLER (M Johnston) – drops from Class 2 to Class 4, is 3-7 for 43% over today's distance
STRAITS OF MOYLE (R Fahey) – drops from Class 2 to Class 4, is 2-5 for 40% over today's distance

12.20
KIDWAH (W Haggas) – trainer has won 2 of the last 10 runnings, 131 of Kodiac's progeny have won on debut
MR ZERO (E Walker) – 67 of Dark Angel's progeny have won on debut

12.55
LADY HAYES (R Varian) – drops from Group 1 to Listed, trainer's last 8 runners show 15122111 and 23% at course, Jack Mitchell 0-26 rides
BASHKIROVA (W Haggas) – trainer runs 3 in the race, Tom Marquand rides
VESELA (R Beckett) – trainer won this race last year and 2 of the last 10

1.25
ORBAAN (D O'Meara) – weighted to win 100 > 94, Jamie Spencer rides
FRESH (J Fanshawe) – beaten favourite last time out
BOOSALA (W Haggas) – drops from Group 3 to Class 2, Tom Marquand rides

2.05
AINSDALE (K Burke) – drops from Group 1 to Listed, first time visor
DAKOTA GOLD (M Dods) – won this race last year, won 7-11 for 64% on this going
RHYTHM MASTER (R Fahey) – drops from Group 1 to Listed, first time visor

2.40
FLYIN' SOLO (D Menuisier) – beaten favourite last time out, Silvestre De Sousa rides
WELLS FARHH GO (T Easterby) – drops from Group 3 to Class 2
FIRST LIGHT (J & T Gosden) – trainer 22% with horses racing 10f+

3.10
HEBRIDES (W Haggas) – beaten favourite last time out, trainer 24% in winter, Tom Marquand rides
TARATARI (Eve Johnson-Houghton) – trainer shows profit of £35.50 with debutants

3.45
MOSSBAWN (D Barron) – C&D winner, 3-8 for 37% at distance but 1-1 for 100% at the course
TOMMY TAYLOR (G Tuer) – beaten favourite last time out

NATIONAL AVERAGE

Please note the percentages in brackets for the Top 5 Trainers at Doncaster show their national averages over the past 5 years. Comparing current form or course form against that of the national average is our preferred measuring tool, the math suggests a factual position, not one of bias. Besides, the higher the national average, with respect to the other trainers, the greater chance of success. The higher the trainer's success rate, the more likely the horse is to win.

Jason Weaver – Doncaster Racecourse

There are not many fairer courses than Doncaster, which is a lovely, virtually flat, galloping track. You do climb briefly, up and over Rose Hill, but, for the most part, it’s beautifully smooth to ride, a good, solid test of a horse. There can be one or two hard-luck stories, especially on the round course, when lots of runners are still in contention late on, and that’s where jockeyship comes in. I liked to be on the stands’ side on the straight course, but either side is fine, just as long as you’re not far off a rail”.

Paul Moon The Racing Horse

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