Doncaster Horse Racing Selections for Today

The Racing Horse offers their first DONCASTER RACECOURSE TEMPLATE of the season for Saturday 1 April 2023.

There is a 7-race card containing 3 Handicaps, 2 Listed, 1 Novice and 1 Maiden race.

The going is expected to be soft (heavy in places).

DONCASTER FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap                    Handicap
2yo    55-129	43%    -1.25	11-34	 32%	+4.02
3yo    46-99	46%    -8.38	79-214	 37%	+4.42
4yo+   20-49	41%    -5.21	72-276	 26%   -43.02
TOTAL 121-277	44%   -14.84	162-524	 31%   -34.58

TOP 5 TRAINERS at Doncaster last 5 years      +/-   E
R Hannon (11%)     29-215   13%	   -13.80     +2%   4  
R Varian (20%)     26-120   22%    -31.33     +2%   1
W Haggas (23%)     23-104   22%	   +24.80     -1%   2
J & T Gosden (21%) 18-70    26%	   +12.66     +5%   2
A Balding (15%)    18-88    20%    +50.50     +5%   4

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at Doncaster last 5 years       +/-   R
W Buick (23%)	26-113	 23%	 -7.66        +0%   0
F Dettori (23%)	18-55	 33%	+16.48       +10%   0
R Moore (18%)	15-72	 21%	-22.07        +3%   0
R Ryan (14%)	15-90	 17%	+26.82        +3%   5
B Curtis (16%)	15-107	 14%	 -4.16        -2%   4

TOP 5 OWNERS at Doncaster last 5 years        +/-   E
Godolphin (24%)	      23-107   21%   -11.40   -3%   1
Hamd A Maktoum (21%)  17-61    28%    +8.05   +7%   0
Shadwell Estate (23%) 15-47    32%   +29.24   +9%   2
Obaid A Maktoum (20%) 12-59    20%   -11.74   +0%   1
Cheveley Park (17%)    8-39    21%    -5.65   +4%   0

Next fixtures
Saturday 1 April 2023
Sunday 2 April 2023

FAVOURITES: Winning favourites at Doncaster over the past 5 years show 283-801 for 35.33% and a level stake loss of -£49.42 to a £1.

The winning strike rate is considerably above the national average. Winning favourites in non-handicaps score 121-277 for 44% (-14.84), whilst winning favourites in handicaps record 162-524 for 31% (-34.58).

Best category are winning 3yo favourites in non-handicaps scoring 46-99 for 46% (-8.38) whilst worst category is 4yo winning favourites in handicaps that produce 72-276 for 26% (-43.02).

Generally speaking this is a punter-friendly racecourse. If we omit 4yo+ winning favourites in handicaps, the other 5 categories show 211-525 for 40.19% and a small loss of -6.42 to level stakes, suggesting a modicum of filtration could easily provide a decent profit!

The 40%+ figure should be measured against the national average of 32%.

TRAINERS: For the record, figures of John Gosden plus J & T Gosden over the past 5 years at the course show 32-114 for 28% (+16.79).

Those recorded on our leader board represents the figures of J & T Gosden. The team send 2 to the course.

Andrew Balding (15%) looks the trainer most likely to score a winner at Doncaster tomorrow, he saddles 4 runners.

JOCKEYS: From our leader board Rossa Ryan (14%) has 5 rides whilst Ben Curtis (16%) has 4.

William Buick (23%) is the top jockey at Doncaster over the past 5 years scoring 26 winners, but second placed Frankie Dettori (23%) has the more imposing 33% strike rate at the course (18 winners). Both have national averages of 23%.

Buick is not at Doncaster on Saturday and goes to Kempton instead for 6 rides, we imagine a strong reason for doing so! Dettori has no booked rides as we go to post, nor does Ryan Moore (18%).

OWNERS: Godolphin (24%) are the leading owners at the course but score -3% below their national average here. They have one runner trained by J & T Gosden in CARLTON 4.45 to be ridden by James Doyle.

Pertinence

1.50
VALADERO (D French-Davis) Foaled 15 March. €80,000 foal, €250,000 yearling, Starspangledbanner colt. Dam, 9.5f winner. Yard 0-7 with 2yos last 12 months, Kevin Stott rides

OLD CHUMS (T Dascombe) 145 of Kodiac's progeny have won on debut, trainer +£104.97 when one runner at a meeting, Alistair Rawlinson rides.

LOADED GUN (A Balding) €75,000 yearling, yard 5-99 with 2yo newcomers last 12 months, David Probert rides.

2.25
ROUDEMENTAL (H Palmer) beaten favourite last time out, Benoit Sayette rides.

TOTHENINES (K Burke) beaten favourite last time out, Shane Gray rides.

TROPEZ POWER (J J Quinn) beaten favourite last time out, Jason Hart rides.

BILLY MILL (B Millman) longest traveller 242-miles, Ross Coakley rides.

ZOZIMUS (D O'Meara) formerlyh with Donnach O'Brien, Danny Tudhope rides.

3.00
ASJAD (J Horton) beaten favourite last time out, Danny Tudhope rides.

EL CABALLO (K Burke) beaten favourite last time out, drops from Group 1 to Listed, trainer 0-32 over 44 days, Clifford Lee rides.

KINGS LYNN (A Balding) drops from Group 1 to Listed, David Probert rides.

TACTICAL (J Camacho) formerly with A Balding, Graham Lee rides.

WILDERNESS GIRL (A Nicholls) formerly with A Balding, Hollie Doyle rides.

3.35
EMPIRESTATEOFMIND (J J Quinn) beaten favourite last time out, Taylor Fisher rides.

JIMI HENDRIX (R Beckett) beaten favourite last time out, Rossa Ryan rides.

TOSHIZOU (R Fell) beaten favourite last time out, formerly with J O'Brien, Jonny Peate rides.

MONTASSIB (W Haggas) The Racing Horse nomination, Cieren Fallon rides.

4.10
POKER FACE (S & E Crisford) trainer 0-13 over 46 days, trainer 20% with horses 7f up to 10f, James Doyle rides and 25% with prominent rides.

IMPERIAL FIGHTER (A Balding) drops from Group 1 to Listed, Andrea Atzeni rides.

4.45
ASTRODOME (J & T Gosden) trainer +£67.06 with debutants, Benoit Sayette rides.

CARLTON (J & T Gosden) trainer +£67.06 with debutants, James Doyle rides.

RIBAL (A Balding) drops from Class 2 to Class 5, trainer won 2 of the last 3 runnings, Hollie Doyle rides.

5.20
ALBOURNE (H Eustace) trainer 0-13 over 121 days, Kaiya Fraser (3) rides.

IVY AVEDNUE (M Appleby) formerly with J Bolger, Erika Parkinson rides.

MRS MEADER (J Feilden) last four runs show 1211, Sam Feilden (3) rides.

5.50
KALAHARI PRINCE (D O'Meara) formerly with K Ryan, Mark Winn rides.

BENADALID (C Fairhurst) C&D winner, trainer +£34.33 when one runner at a meeting, Aiden Brookes rides.

HIGHLIGHTER (G Tutty) top-rated and likely improver, Billy Loughnane rides.

There are not many fairer courses than Doncaster, which is a lovely, virtually flat, galloping track. You do climb briefly, up and over Rose Hill, but, for the most part, it’s beautifully smooth to ride, a good, solid test of a horse. There can be one or two hard-luck stories, especially on the round course, when lots of runners are still in contention late on, and that’s where jockeyship comes in. I liked to be on the stands’ side on the straight course, but either side is fine, just as long as you’re not far off a rail.
– Jason Weaver

Paul Moon – The Racing Horse