Epsom Horse Racing Tips for Today
The Racing Horse offers their insightful EPSOM RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Friday 3 June 2022.
The sample size is small so beware of a literal interpretation.
The figures below show the last 5 years, but there was only one meeting at Epsom in 2020, so in effect the last 4 years.
The going is currently good to soft, good in places.
EPSOM FAVOURITES (5 years) Non-handicap Handicap 2yo 11-26 42% (-4.90) 1-6 17% (-2.75) 3yo 6-24 25% (-11.38) 18-62 29% (-16.41) 4yo+ 6-10 60% (+3.53) 22-92 24% (-15.37) TOTAL 23-60 38% (-12.75) 41-160 26% (-34.52) TOP 5 TRAINERS at EPSOM last 5 seasons +/- E J Boyle (9%) 13-77 17% +2.08 +8% 1 C Appleby (29%) 10-24 42% +42.91 +13% 2 R Beckett (17%) 10-43 23% -2.92 +6% 3 A Balding (16%) 9-73 12% -39.08 -4% 4 M Johnston (15%) 9-78 12% -26.09 -3% 2 A O'Brien (11%) 6-47 11% +8.10 +0% 5 TOP 5 JOCKEYS at EPSOM last 5 seasons +/- R W Buick (21%) 12-50 24% +24.28 +3% 6 S De Sousa (16%) 12-67 18% +3.86 +2% 2 O Murphy (19%) 12-68 18% -20.79 -1% 0 J Watson (14%) 8-39 21% -0.21 +7% 0 A Atzeni (16%) 8-42 19% +5.00 +3% 3 TOP OWNERS at EPSOM last 5 seasons +/- E Godolphin (24%) 12-35 34% +36.23 +10% 2 R Moss (13%) 7-26 27% +26.25 +14% 1 Moham Al Maktoum (15%) 4-20 20% -4.75 +5% 0 Fishlake Com (21%) 3-4 75% +9.75 +56% 0 Midtech (13%) 3-4 75% +40.00 +62% 0 HOT TRAINERS +/- E O Burrows (20%) 4-9 44% +17.50 +24% 1 W Haggas (22%) 27-77 35% +13.62 +13% 1 J & T Gosden (20%) 19-74 26% -2.76 +6% 2 COLD LIST TRAINERS SAW E E Dunlop (8%) 46 1 S Williams (12%) 26 1 J S Moore (5%) 24 1 I Williams (11%) 24 1 R Fell (10%) 22 4 HOT JOCKEYS +/- R R Moore (18%) 23-67 34% +12.73 +16% 4 B Curtis (16%) 20-76 26% +10.30 +10% 3 J Crowley (19%) 18-70 26% +6.87 +7% 4 K Shoemark (11%) 13-62 21% +29.50 +10% 3 COLD LIST JOCKEYS SAW R C Shepherd (11%) 33 2 H Crouch (12%) 29 1 D Probert (12%) 28 5 C Fallon (12%) 20 2 Fixtures Friday 3 June 2022 Saturday 4 June 2022 Thursday 30 June 2022 (%): National Average E: Entries R: Rides
FAVOURITES: Our sample is small, though historically Epsom is not the best racecourse for winning favourites and way below the national average. The past 5 years show 64-220 for 29.09% (-47.27)
TRAINERS: Who would have thought Jim Boyle (9%) top trainer at this prestigious racecourse over the past 5 years – tomorrow he runs BAD COMPANY 3.45, but things are about to change.
Charlie Appleby has a national average of 29% and now registers 10-24 or a massive 42% (+42.91) at the course over the same time period. These figures are 13% above his already high national average. He runs MANOBO 3.10 & WITH THE MOONLIGHT 4.30
Aidan O'Brien has 5 runners with HIGH DEFINITION 3.10 in the Coronation Cup (Group 1) but has 4 runners (at this stage) in the Oaks, they include TUESDAY, CONCERT HALL, THOUGHTS OF JUNE & THE ALGARVE. Is Ryan Moore riding the best of the O'Brien runners? We are not so sure!
John Gosden (20%) has two runners in the Oaks and a fabulous chance of winning it with EMILY UPJOHN (PACAFI STATUS) & NASHWA. Could he supply the 1-2?
HOT TRAINER: Owen Burrows (20%) has a single entry in HUKUM 3.10. In 5 years, he has only sent 5 horses to this track and won with 3 of them for 60% (+20.75)
JOCKEYS: Silvestre De Sousa (16%) continues to be massively underused and something we do not understand. His record at Epsom (5 years) show 21-96 for 21.9% (+13.94), he has just 2 rides tomorrow in CORAZON ESPINADO 2.35 & SWEET REWARD 3.45.
William Buick (21%) shares top jockey spot at Epsom with Silvestre and he has 6 rides and almost certain to ride at least one winner!
HOT JOCKEYS: Our 4 hot jockeys have 14 rides between them and winners' beckon!
OWNERS: Godolphin (24%) have 2 entries courtesy of Charlie Appleby. Robert Moss (13%) has an entry with CORAZON ESPINADO 2.35
By the way…
Many consider Epsom’s famous switchback course to be the ultimate test of a thoroughbred. Runners over the Derby and Oaks distance of a mile and a half face a steep uphill climb followed by a demanding turning descent, they turn right then left and, in the home straight have to overcome a pronounced camber and a stiff last furlong to the line. It ought to produce freak results but, as 250 years of history have demonstrated, Epsom invariably identifies the best colts and fillies of their generation.
Frankie Dettori says of the Derby distance: “It's unique, like the Grand National, the Monaco Grand Prix, the Masters, Wimbledon. It's the unknown – who's going to be the best, who stays the distance, who can handle the track.”
2.00
SILENCER (R Hannon) trainer has won 2 of the last 10 runnings, Cieren Fallon rides.
SELF PRAISE (H Palmer) trainer shows profit of £39.23 with horses stepped up in trip, Danny Tudhope rides.
HANDY STAR (R Fell) beaten favourite last time out, Ben Curtis rides.
2.35
FIREWORKS (W Haggas) only runner for hot trainer who shows profit of £17.36 with horses running after a break, beaten favourite last time out, Tom Marquand rides.
VARIYANN (M Meade) trainer shows profit of £39.81 with horses running after a break, beaten favourite last time out, Rob Hornby rides.
3.10
MANOBO (C Appleby) trainer 29%, beaten favourite last time out, William Buick rides.
PYLEDRIVER (W Muir & C Grassick) C&D winner, trainer 20% in mid-season, Frankie Detorri rides.
HIGH DEFINITION (A O'Brien) trainer has won 3 of the last 10 runnings, Ryan Moore rides.
3.45
MOKTASAAB (W Knight) trainer shows profit of £13.50 with favourites, Callum Shepherd rides.
SWEET REWARD (J Portman) beaten favourite last time out, Silvestre De Sousa rides.
ROYAL CHAMPION (R Varian) trainer has won 2 of the last 4 runnings and 3 of the last 10, Andrea Atzeni rides.
4.30
EMILY UPJOHN (J & T Gosden) Pacafi status.
TUESDAY (A O'Brien) beaten favourite last time out, trainer has won 6 of the last 10 runnings, Ryan Moore rides.
5.10
HONEY SWEET (K Burke) longest traveller 259 miles, Clifford Lee rides.
EVER GIVEN (H Palmer) drops from Group 2 to Listed, Danny Tudhope rides.
5.45
SALEYMM (S & E Crisford) beaten favourite last time out, trainer shows profit of £18.50 when one runner at a meeting, Harry Burns rides.
LORD RAPSCALLION (S Williams) weighted to win 94 > 83, Marco Ghiani rides.
ORBAAN (D O'Meara) weighted to win 100 > 87, Andrea Atzeni rides.
Epsom Racecourse Configuration
The Epsom course is left-handed, undulating, ‘U' shaped course, with tight bends. Races up to eight and a half furlongs are very sharp, meaning those ridden prominently hold an advantage, particularly on the five-furlong course, the fastest in the world, which is virtually downhill throughout. Conversely, the first four furlongs of the Derby course are uphill and it provides a real test of stamina, anything over racing in the early part of the race usually found wanting in the closing stages. In testing conditions, the runners tend to switch towards the stands-side rail for the better ground.
Jason Weaver on Epsom
Balance is at a premium for a horse racing around Epsom and it’s not merely a question of size. Big ones and small ones have it – and some just don’t. Whatever they’re like physically, though, they need to handle the hills, turns and cambers, as this track tests every muscle. Runners really get rolling round Tattenham Corner and, while people say suspect stayers can last home over middle distances, I reckon you have to stay the trip thoroughly to win. A sure-footed speedster is needed for the sprints.
Paul Moon – The Racing Horse
Featured Image: (CC BY-ND 4.0) – Epsom Downs