Like many horse racing bettors, I sometimes fall foul to cliff horses. I don’t think backing a horse twice in a row can count as a cliff horse, but it’s the start of the road! But I simply have to give Piz Badile another chance following his Epsom flop.
He’d really excited me going into that race and as always, you cannot judge a horse on one bad run. Involved in a fair bit of argy bargy at the start of the race, Piz Badile was then stuck three-wide the whole way as well as probably being further back than Frankie would have liked. I wouldn’t say he looked comfortable at any stage of the race, absolutely nothing went right, and he didn’t look at home on the track.
It’s a right off from me unfortunately, and hopefully we see him in a much better light at the Curragh.
For all the reasons stated in my piece last month, I retain full faith in Piz Badile. His class, stamina and attitude all stamp him out as a class horse and I’m expecting to see a different animal in the Irish Derby.
Back Piz Badile @ 10/1 Each Way
As I’ve mentioned before, the weight-for-age allowance in the Coral Eclipse is hugely advantageous for the three-year-olds. The 10lb they receive from their elders means that unless there is a freak of an older horse, they often don’t even need to run to their best to win. Four of the last seven renewals have been won by the classic generation.
In the other three running’s of the race, Barney Roy was beaten a nose in 2017 and there was no representative from the age group in 2020. That’s how strong the recent three-year-old record is in the Eclipse.
Native Trail is crying out for a step up in trip in my view.
It’s been well documented that he “hits a flat spot” in his races, when the taps get turned on, he doesn’t have the immediate quickening speed like some other horses, such as his stablemate Coroebus. So, over a longer distance, when horses don’t have as much natural speed, it will help a horse like Native Trail travel into the contest a bit easier. He hits the line so strongly I can only see him improving for a mile and a quarter.
Providing Baaeed doesn’t turn up here, which I doubt he will give how close it is to Royal Ascot, and Desert Crown isn’t supplemented, which again I don’t think he will be, I don’t think Native Trail will have to improve to win this. But I actually think he will for the step up in trip, so that would set him so far clear of his rivals that we’ll hopefully see him storm up the Sandown hill with something to spare.
This horse has only lost once in his life and that was to a naturally faster stablemate, and I’m really excited about seeing him turn up here to see what he’s capable of over this longer trip.
Back Native Trail @ 3/1