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Kempton Racecourse Template – Friday 16 September 2022

The Racing Horse offers our insightful Kempton AW RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Friday 16 September 2022. 

There is an 8-race card containing 5 Handicaps and 3 Novice Races.

The going is expected to be standard to slow.

Winning Favourites (5 Years)
Non-handicap                   Handicap
2yo   125-296	42%   -28.78   39-126    31%   -10.92
3yo   129-268	48%   -12.32   161-523   31%   -62.16
4yo+   45-116	39%   -21.13   258-812   32%   -55.21
TOTAL 299-680	44%   -62.22   458-1461  31%  -128.29

TOP 5 TRAINERS at KEMPTON for 2021            +/-   E
R Varian (20%)     17-54   31%   +15.08      +11%   4         
A Balding (16%)    17-97   18%   +58.35       +2%   1
J & T Gosden (21%) 14-69   20%   -23.78       -1%   2
C Appleby (29%)    12-45   27%   -11.33       -2%   1
W Haggas (23%)     11-45   24%    -0.88       +1%   1

TOP 5 TRAINERS at KEMPTON past 5 years        +/-   E
J & T Gosden (21%) 78-330   24%   -68.14      +3%   2
R Varian (20%)     65-274   24%    -7.36      +4%   4
A Balding (15%)	   62-402   15%   +49.24      +0%   1
R Hannon (11%)	   58-568   10%  -177.65      -1%   2
C Appleby (29%)	   52-146   36%   -22.03      +7%   1

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at KEMPTON for 2021             +/-   R 
H Doyle (14%)     31-211   15%   -57.14       +1%   0
D Probert (12%)   24-192   13%    -4.56       +1%   0
O Murphy (19%)    23-91    25%    +1.43       +6%   0
R Kingscote (14%) 22-163   13%   -69.00       -1%   8
J Mitchell (16%)  18-109   17%   +21.45       +0%   8

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at KEMPTON past 5 years         +/-   R
O Murphy (19%)	 96-513	  19%    -80.41       +0%   0
D Probert (12%)	 85-810	  10%   -110.74       -2%   0
H Doyle (14%)	 80-595	  13%   -125.85       -1%   0
T Marquand (14%) 76-652	  12%   -109.25       -2%   0
A Kirby	(15%)    69-538	  13%   -178.23       -2%   0

TOP 5 OWNERS at Kempton past 5 years          +/-   E
Godolphin (24%)         90-321	28%  -61.48   +4%   1
Hamdan Al Maktoum (21%)	44-176	25%  +47.66   +4%   0
King Power (14%)	25-137	18%  -23.43   +5%   1
K Abdullah (25%)        21-89	24%   -3.97   -1%   0
Ahmed Al Maktoum (25%)	16-67	24%   -8.68   -1%   0

FIXTURES
Friday 16 September 2022	
Wednesday 21 September 2022		
Wednesday 28 September 2022		
Wednesday 5 October 2022		
Wednesday 12 October 2022

FAVOURITES: The beauty of the Kempton Template is the sample size. It is our biggest aggregation and one we can trust (relatively speaking). Winning favourites at Kempton over the past 5 years show 757-2141 for 35.36% (-190.51) so nicely above the national average. Favourites in non-handicaps win at 44% whilst just 31% in handicaps. The best category for winning favourites at this course is 3yos in non-handicaps showing 129-268 for 48.13% (-12.32).

TRAINERS: Charlie Appleby (29%) is currently treading ground never walked onto before! In the UK we have John Gosden and grateful for his contribution, and now we have Appleby. We take a look at his Kempton AW figures bearing in mind he often has multiple runners in the same race thus diluting his strike rates:

On Course Profits free Horse Racing magazine
Current Year: 12-31  for 39%  (-8.80)
Last 5 Years: 52-146 for 36% (-22.03)
All Time:    122-406 for 30% (-16.90)

Tomorrow, he has just the one runner in the unraced 3yo ALNILAM 4.40 to be ridden by Richard Kingscote.

J & T Gosden (21%) have 2 runners including MELFET 4.40 & COURAGE MON AMI 5.10. 

JOCKEYS: Richard Kingscote (14%) and Jack Mitchell (16%) have 8 rides each and they must surely heavily impact proceedings tomorrow!

OWNERS: Godolphin (24%) have just the one runner in ALNILAM 4.40 whilst King Power (14%) have one also in BLACKBIRD POWER 6.15

4.40
MELFET (J & T Gosden) shaped very well despite looking very green when fifth of 10 in a C&D maiden on debut in December, Rob Havlin rides
ALNILAM (C Appleby) trainer national average of 29% and 39% at Kempton this year, Richard Kingscote rides
PINK HAZE (D M Simcock) drops from Class 3 to Class 5, Dylan Hogan rides

5.10
COURAGE MON AMI (J & T Gosden) 59 of Frankel's progeny have won on debut, trainer shows profit of £41.68 with debutants, Rob Havlin rides
FLOY JOY (S Pearce) beaten favourite last time out, formerly with J Tizzard, had wind surgery late July, Joey Haynes rides
GALILEO IMPACT (Sir M Prescott) formerly with Mitsumasa Nakauchida, Thore Hammer Hansen rides

5.45
UNION JOY (H Palmer) trainer shows profit of £44.35 with horses stepped up in trip, Cieren Fallon rides
CLASSIC ORDER (R Beckett) drops from Class 4 to Class 6, trainer shows profit of £120.87 using first time headgear, Hector Crouch rides
LOVE GETAWAY (R Varian) trainer 24% at Kempton but 31% last year, Jack Mitchell rides

6.15
SHIN SAW GYI (G Scott) formerly with A Watson, Benoit De La Sayette rides
SPIRIT OF CAHALA (R Teal) trainer shows profit of £54.00 with debutants, Cieren Fallon rides
ANGEL OF TRAFALGAR (T Clover) trainer shows profit of £58.00 with debutants, Rob Havlin rides

6.45
GLOBAL WARNING (J Butler) beaten favourite last time out, weighted to win 84 > 72, George Wood rides
PRENUP (H Morrison) beaten favourite last time out, Benoit De La Sayette rides
UNSUNG HERO (H Main) drops from Class 3 to Class 5, Cieren Fallon rides

7.15
SEVEN POCKETS (R Varian) beaten favourite last time out, trainer 24% at Kempton but 31% last year, is 21% with horses running 10f+, Jack Mitchell rides
PONS AEILIUS (C & M Johnston) drops from Class 2 to Class 4, Polytrack debut, Richard Kingscote rides
MOUNTAIN ROAD (D Simcock) Lightly-raced maiden and good second of 8 in C&D handicap 9 days ago, shortlisted, Stevie Donohoe rides

7.45
SWASHBUCKLER (T Lacey) formerly with J Chapple-Hyam, Rob Havlin rides
CABINET MAKER (C & M Johnston) drops from Class 2 to Class 5, Richard Kingscote rides
SNAPCRACKLEPOP (W Muir & C Grassick) drops from Class 3 to Class, Benoit De La Sayette rides
TARAVARA (S Pearce) drops from Class 3 to Class 5, Jack Mitchell rides

The way the track is prepared at Kempton can play a massive part in whether it suits front-runners or horses coming from behind. Most of the time, the going is officially rated ‘standard’ but I know, from having ridden in America, that all artificial surfaces are dependent on weather conditions. An inside draw is a big advantage on the round course, as you don’t want to be running wide, and there’s a tendency for jockeys to get going a long from home. My preference would be to use patient tactics – Jason Weaver

Paul MoonThe Racing Horse