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Newbury Racecourse Template (Saturday 16 April 2022)

On Course Profits Feature

The Racing Horse offers their Newbury RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Saturday 16 April 2022. 

There is an 8-race card containing 3 Group 3s, 3 maidens and 2 handicaps.

The going is expected to be good, good to soft in places.

Newbury FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap                    Handicap
2yo    59-177   33%  (-40.90)	7-19     37%   (-1.26)
3yo    34-102   33%  (-19.60)	44-146   30%   (-8.83)
4yo+   22-43    51%  (+15.67)	30-141   21%  (-50.04)
TOTAL 115-322   36%  (-44.83)	81-306   26%  (-60.12)

TOP 5 TRAINERS at Newbury for past 5 years    +/-   E
R Hannon (12%)   44-361   12%  (-29.03)       +0%  13
W Haggas (22%)   33-157   21%  (-15.00)       -1%   4
R Charlton (20%) 24-132   18%  (+42.36)       -2%   5
A Balding (16%)	 23-194   12%  (+88.08)       -4%   5
J Gosden (20%)   22-94    23%   (-9.39)       +3%   5

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at Newbury for past 5 years     +/-   R
J Doyle (20%)   40-191   21%   (-5.93)        +1%   4
O Murphy (19%)  34-225   15%  (-35.14)        -4%   0
J Crowley (19%) 27-195   14%  (+23.57)        -5%   4
J Watson (14%)  24-153   16%  (+19.03)        +2%   0
R Moore (17%)   21-134   16%  (-27.93)        -1%   7

TOP 5 OWNERS at Newbury for past 5 years      +/-   E
Godolphin (24%)     17-88   19%  (-24.98)     -5%   5
H Al Maktoum (21%)  17-102  17%  (+16.81)     -4%   0
K Abdullah (25%)    15-57   26%  (+13.60)     +1%   0
Mohammed Obaid (20%) 8-46   17%  (-17.91)     -3%   1
King Power (14%)     8-62   13%  (-23.13)     -1%   0

Hot Trainers 17/03/2022 to 16/04/2022         +/-   E
D Steele (7%)        3-4    75%   (+6.50)    +68%   1
C Appleby (28%)     11-35   31%   (+9.75)     +3%   4
S & E Crisford (20%) 5-19   26%   (-8.00)     +6%   2

Cold List Trainers    SAW   E
J Chapple-Hyam (11%)   27   1  
B Millman (10%)	       23   1

Hot Jockeys 17/03/2022 to 16/04/2022          +/-   R
F Dettori (24%) 4-11   36%   (-0.80)         +12%   3
W Buick (21%)  13-39   33%  (+13.13)         +12%   5
J Spencer (14%) 6-21   29%   (-5.00)         +15%   5
T Whelan (9%)   5-22   23%   (-3.00)         +14%   2
R Moore (17%)   9-41   22%  (-24.89)          +5%   7

Cold List Jockeys  SAW   R
C Fallon (12%)      37   3
L Steward (11%)     32   2

Fixtures
Saturday 16 April 2022
Sunday 17 April 2022
Friday 13 May 2022
Sunday 14 May 2022

FAVOURITES: Winning favourites at Newbury show 196-628 for 31.21% so considerably below the national average. Best category, albeit from a small sample, are 4yo+ winning favourites in non-handicap races scoring at 22-43 for 51% (+15.67). Worst performing category are 4yo+ in handicaps recording 30-141 for a small 21% (-50.04). This is not a good racecourse for winning favourites!

TRAINERS: Our 5 leader board trainers have 32 entries between them so a big task in finding out how many of those are real contenders. Richard Hannon currently has 13 entries but comes with a poor national average of 12%. John & Thady Gosden (20%) and Andrew Balding (16%) have 5 entries tomorrow, Charlie Appleby (28%) and Williiam Haggas (22%) has 4. Harry & Roger Charlton's 5 entries particularly catch the eye and should be considered!

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JOCKEYS: Ryan Moore (17%) has picked up 7 rides. Jason Watson (14%) rides the course well but goes to Nottingham instead for 2 rides, and the move could be significant. Great to see Christophe Soumillon showcase his skills at Newbury, the past month shows him riding well with 25-160 for 16% (-1.00) but he does less well in the UK than many people realise scoring just 2-31 for 6%. He has 3 rides tomorrow.

OWNERS: Godolphin (24%) has 5 runners at the course tomorrow and those runners must be individually processed.

1.50
ILARAB
(W Haggas) C&D winner, trainer has won 2 of the last 10 runnings and 21% at the course, Tom Marquand rides
THUNDEROUS (C & M Johnston) longest traveller 239 miles, Christophe Soumillon rides

2.25
WILD BEAUTY
(C Appleby) drops from Group 1 to Group 3, trainer 28% NA but 29% with horses 7f-10f, William Buick rides
MISS CAROL ANN (R Varian) beaten favourite last time out, Andrea Atzeni rides
EVE LODGE (C Fellowes) drops from Group 1 to Group 3, trainer shows profit of £93.78 with horses running after a break, Jamie Spencer rides
MAJESTIC GLORY (A Balding) drops from Group 1 to Group 3, Ryan Moore rides

3.00
PERFECT POWER
(R Fahey) drops from Group 1 to Group 3, Christophe Soumillon rides
FLAMING RIB (H Palmer) formerly with T Dascombe, first time hood, James Doyle rides

3.35
MIGRATION (D Menuisier) beaten favourite last time out, Ryan Moore rides
CUMULONIMBUS (C Fellowes) beaten favourite last time out, David Egan rides
ORBAAN (D O'Meara) longest traveller 234 miles, weighted to win 100 > 90, David Probert rides
ETONINA (R Hannon) drops from Group 3 to Class 2, Pat Dobbs rides

4.10
THESIS
(H & R Charlton) Kingman colt caught the eye on debut when 3/1, Ryan Moore rides
ZOOM (R Hannon) drops from Class 2 to Class 4, Pat Dobbs rides

4.45
CHEF DE PATIE
(H & R Charlton) drops from Class 2 to Class 4, Hollie Doyle rides
WESSALL (W Haggas) trainer 21% at Newbury, Tom Marquand rides

5.20
NATURAL WORLD & OTTOMAN FLEET
(C Appleby) trainer has national average of 28% and shows a profit of £30.45 with debutants, James Doyle & William Buick ride respectively

5.55
FITWOOD  STAR
(R Teal) beaten favourite last time out, first time cheek pieces, Cieren Fallon rides
MOKTASAAB (W Knight) beaten favourite last time out, formerly with O Burrows, Callum Shepherd rides
EAGLE COURT (T Ward) formerly with D O'Meara, Hollie Doyle rides
COUNTRY PYLE (W Muir & C Grassick) drops from Class 2 to Class 4, P J McDonald rides
RANDOM HARVEST (E Walker) drops from Class 2 to Class 4, Tom Marquand rides

There aren’t many fairer courses than Newbury, which is big and galloping, but, probably due to the woodland on the far side, it can sometimes ride a good bit softer down the back straight than it does in the home straight. There’s very little draw bias on the straight track and there’s no wonder so many trainers want to send their classy horses there. The one tricky start is the one up in the spur (the round 1m) and that can prove draw-dependent. Otherwise, you get very few hard-luck stories at Newbury – Jason Weaver

Paul MoonThe Racing Horse

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