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The Racing Horse – Ascot Racecourse Template – Friday 18 November 2022

The Racing Horse offers their Ascot Racecourse Template for Friday 18 November 2022. 

So, what exactly are The Racing Horse Racecourse Templates – You can find out more here.

There is a 7-race card, and the going is expected to be good to soft.

Winning favourites (5 years)
Non-handicap                    Handicap
Hurdle	25-52   48% (+2.77)	18-52   35% (+10.45)
Chase	17-31   55% (+0.30)	14-65   22% (-19.48)
NHF	5-17    29% (-1.00)	0-0		
Total  47-100   47% (+2.07)	32-117  27%  (-9.02)

TOP 5 TRAINERS at ASCOT past 5 years        +/-   E
P Nicholls (23%)  29-170   17%    +7.39     -6%   5
N Henderson (24%) 26-111   23%   +13.07     -1%   7
D Skelton (19%)   14-91    15%    -1.34     -4%   3
V Williams (16%)   9-47    19%    -0.45     +3%   2 
N T-Davies (13%)   9-69    13%    -6.75     +0%   1

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at ASCOT past 5 years         +/-   R
H Cobden (22%)       20-110  18%   +12.90   -4%   5
N de Boinville (22%) 18-64   28%   -19.45   +6%   3
H Skelton (22%)      12-54   22%   +25.15   +0%   3
C Deutsch (14%)      11-43   26%   +10.25  +12%   2
S T-Davies (16%)     10-74   14%   -20.75   -2%   3 

TOP 5 OWNERS at Ascot past 5 years          +/-   E
J P McManus (17%)   14-71   20%   +13.54    +3%   3 
J de la Hey (17%)    9-62   15%    -9.25    -2%   2
Tully & Lock (37%)   4-7    57%   +19.50   +20%   0
Munir & Souede (21%) 4-39   10%    +4.15    -8%   2 
Walters & Bart (50%) 3-3   100%    +2.95   +50%   0   
  
FIXTURES
Friday 18 November 2022
Saturday 19 November 2022

(%): National Average SAW: Since a win E: Entries R: Rides

NATIONAL AVERAGE – what is it, does it have relevance? | The Racing Horse

FAVOURITES – Our sample size is small so duly acknowledged.

On Course Profits free Horse Racing magazine

Winning favourites score 79-217 for 36.41% for a small level stake loss of -6.95 so nicely above the national average.

Chase favourites in non-handicaps win at 55%, whilst chase favourites in handicaps win at just 22%.

TRAINERS – Heavyweights Nicky Henderson (24%) has 7 entered on Friday whilst Paul Nicholls (23%) has 5, we can expect winners from this duo!

  • COLD TRAINERS – There are a couple of cold trainers to report but it is the form or lack of it, of Venetia Williams that catches the eye!
Venetia Williams | Grand National trainer Venetia Williams | Paul | Flickr

She has not had a winner this season and is now 0-32 and an extraordinary state of affairs. This run will surely end soon, and she should be followed from here.

We are reminded of last December where she scored 14-59 for 24% so we can expect her horses to take advantage of the soft ground over the next week or two! She has 2 runners at Ascot tomorrow and 3 on Saturday including L'HOMME PRESSE 2.05.

She has 4 runners at Chepstow on Friday, and 3 at Haydock on Saturday and they might be worth a look. This run will end sooner rather than later for this 17% trainer – of that there is no doubt!

  • Neil King (13%) is 0-33 over 166 days and he has 3 runners tomorrow. At Ascot he shows 2-18 for 11% (+0.00).

JOCKEYS – Our top 5 jockeys at the course have 16 rides between them and will surely dominate the meeting. We note Charlie Deutsch (14%) scores 26% at Ascot, he has 2 rides.

  • HOT JOCKEYS – Harry Cobden (22%) is red hot at the moment and 30-65 for 46% (+14.25) over the past month or so. Tom Scudamore (14%) is 15-63 for 24% (+13.00) in the same time frame, he has just 1 ride.
  • COLD JOCKEY – Richie McLernon (9%) is on a losing run of 34 and has 2 rides at Ascot tomorrow.

BY THE WAY: Venetia Williams has a national average of 17% and we look at her runners for Friday and Saturday. Figures below show last 5 years:

ASCOT:     9-47 for 19%  (-0.45)   5 runners (total)
CHEPSTOW: 13-92 for 14% (-22.22)   4 runners
HAYDOCK:   8-52 for 15%  (-8.97)   3 runners

What are the chances she will hit 0-44? We do not believe that will happen and the trainer regularly score at big prices.

Her entries tomorrow include

  • HERMES DU GOUET 1.10 Chepstow
  • FLOWING CADENZA 1.45 Chepstow
  • ESPOIR DE GUYE 2.05 Ascot
  • MOUNTAIN LEOPARD 2.20 Chepstow
  • KAPGA DE LILY 2.40 Ascot
  • ALCEDO 4.00 Chepstow
  • On Saturday ACHILLE 12.40 Haydock
  • MARTATOR 1.15 Haydock
  • L'HOMME PRESSE 2.05 Ascot
  • FRERO BANBOU 3.15 Ascot
  • FUNAMBULE SIVOLA 3.15 Ascot
  • FOUNTAINE COLLONGES 3.35 Haydock.

12.20
HANDS OFF
(N Henderson) beaten favourite last time out, trainer won 2 of the last 10 runnings, Daryl Jacob rides HOLETOWN HERO (P Nicholls) trainer won 2 of the last 10 runnings, hot jockey Harry Cobden rides
FILANDERER (H Morrison) trainer shows profit of £68.51 when one runner on card (hurdles) Tom O'Brien rides

12.55
THUNDER ROCK
(O Murphy) created excellent impression scoring at Uttoxeter, can make light of a 7lbs rise, Adrian Heskin rides 
SOLO (P Nicholls) trainer has 24% with chasers up to 2m3f, hot jockey Harry Cobden rides

1.30
KANDOO KID
(P Nicholls) Hot jockey Harry Cobden 50% on hurdling favourites
PERSIAN TIME (N Henderson) formerly with S Doyle, trainer has won 3 of the last 10 runnings. Adrian Heskin rides

2.05
ESPOIR DE GUYE
(V Williams) trainer has won 5 of the last 10 runnings and 2 of the last 2, C&D winner, this horse won first up last two times including this race 2 years ago. Charlie Deutsch rides and 26% at Ascot
BOTHWELL BRIDGE (N Henderson) beaten favourite last time out, Nico de Boinville rides
DO YOUR JOB (M Scudamore) beaten last time out, trainer shows profit of £22.35 when on runner on card (chases), Luca Morgan rides

2.40
KAPGA DE LILY
(V Williams) C&D winner winning this race last year, trainer shows profit of £64.11 with chasers running after a break, Charlie Deutsch rides and 26% at Ascot
BOBHOPEORNOHOPE (K Bailey) trainer shows profit of £29.87 with chasers running after a break, David Bass rides
CAT TIGER (P Nicholls) seen to good effect over C&D last season, had wind surgery, David Maxwell (3) rides

3.15
GIPSY DE CHOISEL
(N Henderson) trainer has won 4 of the last 10 runnings and 3 of the last 5, 23% at Ascot, Daryl Jacob rides
GET BACK GET BACK (H Fry) trainer 20% in early season, Ben Bromley (7) rides
WHIZZ KID (Dr R Newland) beaten favourite last time out, Sam Twiston-Davies rides

3.50
BUTTSBURY LADY
(N Henderson) beaten favourite last time out, trainer 23% at course, Nico de Boinville rides
BETTERFOREVERYONE (A King) type to improve further over this distance, opening mark seems fair. Tom Cannon rides and 39% on hurdling favourites
GENERAL PROBUS (K Burke) formerly with O Murphy, trainer shows profit of £78.13 when one runner on card (hurdles) Sam Twiston-Davies rides

The fences on the far side are quite tricky, particularly for a novice, but, if you’re on a horse that can jump them and freewheel nicely on the downhill section, it can usually win for you. Handling those obstacles smoothly saves an awful lot of energy. It’s a front-runner track, too, especially in small fields of novices, but it’s very difficult to win from the front in a big-field handicap. Saving ground when you can and making sure you meet the fences right are the two biggest factors to keep in mind when you’re riding Ascot” – Mick Fitzgerald

Featured Image: Handicap Hurdle | Warwick Racecourse | Carine06 | Flickr

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