Newbury Horse Racing Tips for Today
The Racing Horse offers their Newbury racecourse template for Friday 19 April 2024.
There is a 7-race card containing 3 Handicaps, a Novice and 3 Maiden Races.
The going is expected to be soft, good to soft in places.
Newbury FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap Handicap
2yo 61-170 36% -29.08 6-20 30% -3.65
3yo 33-98 34% -23.76 49-140 35% +0.00
4yo+ 18-43 42% +0.70 31-151 21% -51.61
TOTAL 112-311 36% -52.14 86-311 28% -55.26
TOP 5 TRAINERS at NEWBURY past 5 years +/- E
Richard Hannon (11%) 39-360 11% -94.54 +0% 10
William Haggas (22%) 35-160 22% -21.15 +0% 3
Andrew Balding (15%) 23-209 11% +38.43 -4% 5
Ed Walker (14%) 20-138 14% -30.52 +0% 1
J & T Gosden (21%) 19-104 18% -29.60 -3% 2
HOT TRAINERS 20/03/2024 to 18/04/2024 +/- E
Harry Charlton (28%) 4-8 50% +1.50 +22% 2
Ollie Sangster (18%) 2-4 50% +3.41 +32% 1
Richard Hughes (14%) 16-39 41% +8.00 +27% 2
Harry Fry (19%) 5-14 36% -0.09 +17% 1
Richard Spencer (11%) 5-15 33% -2.00 +22% 1
Ed Walker (14%) 6-21 29% +28.82 +15% 1
Eve J-Houghton (12%) 5-18 28% +5.50 +16% 2
William Haggas (22%) 3-12 25% +2.00 +3% 3
COLD TRAINERS SAW E
Charlie Hills (15%) 28 117 days 2
Karl Burke (14%) 20 10 days 2
Roger Varian (20%) 14 15 days 3
TOP 5 JOCKEYS at NEWBURY past 5 years +/- R
Tom Marquand (15%) 38-219 17% -19.49 +2% 5
Oisin Murphy (19%) 29-161 18% +7.25 -1% 6
James Doyle (19%) 27-146 18% -14.57 -1% 3
William Buick (23%) 27-152 18% -13.07 -5% 3
Jim Crowley (19%) 26-141 18% +29.32 -1% 1
HOT JOCKEYS 20/03/2024 to 18/04/2024 +/- R
Finley Marsh (14%) 11-26 42% +24.32 +28% 1
William Buick (23%) 7-30 23% -8.50 +0% 3
David Probert (12%) 13-64 20% -3.50 +8% 5
Oisin Murphy (19%( 13-65 20% -4.00 +1% 6
Saffie Osborne (12%) 9-47 19% +21.0 +7% 3
COLD JOCKEYS SAW R
Luke Morris (9%) 63 27 days 3
Richard Kingscote (13%) 44 36 days 4
TOP 5 OWNERS at Newbury for past 5 years +/- E
Godolphin (25%) 21-105 20% -16.65 -5% 3
Shadwell Est (24%) 13-74 18% +5.23 -6% 1
Amo Racing (17%) 9-48 19% -14.62 +2% 2
Ahmed A Maktoum (24%) 8-40 20% +3.83 -4% 1
Juddmonte (23%) 8-51 16% -16.29 -7% 0
Fixtures
Friday 19 April 2024
Saturday 20 April 2024
FAVOURITES: Newbury Flat Racecourse provides as many non-handicap races to handicap races and this is very unusual. Over the past 5 years winning favourites at the course show 198-622 for 31.83 for a level stake loss of -107.46 so a strike rate below the national average. This is clearly not a great course for favourites! This negative is in contradiction to the quality of the race track and quality of races generally held there but these are the facts and mathematics!
Winning favourites in non-handicaps show 112-311 for 36% and a level stake loss to SP of -52.14, whilst winning favourites in handicaps score 86-311 for 28% and a loss to level stakes of -55.26.
TRAINERS: Based on volume Richard Hannon (11%) is top trainer at the course and as we go to post he has 10 runners including HAWAIIAN 1.42, GISBURN & BOSH 2.12, ARDARA ROSE & SEAMORE 2.42, SAM HAWKENS & VOYAGE 3.12, CHRISTIAN DAVID & CIRCE 4.15 and STAR STYLE 4.50. From these runners we note Hannon doubles-up in 4 races.
There are 3 top trainers on the cold list with an aggregate of 0-62, they include Charlie Hills, Karl Burke & Roger Varian.
Will they score 0-69 at 5pm tomorrow?
JOCKEYS: The UK best jockeys are in attendance for this meeting. Oisin Murphy (19%) has 6 rides, Tom Marquand (15%) & David Probert (12%) both have 5 rides whilst William Buick (23%) & James Doyle (19%) both have 3 rides. We can expect multiple winners from this quintet. Jim Crowley (19%) has just the 1 ride.
OWNERS: The top owners at a course are a regular source of winners and this template category needs a second look as there appears to be winners in waiting. Godolphin (25%) have 3 runners including MAGIC DREAM 2.42, ROLAND GARROS & ARABIAN TRIBE 3.12.
Shadwell Estate (24%) have a single runner in TARQEEZ 4.50.
Amo Racing (17%) have 2 runners including MR HAMPSTEAD 3.12 & PRINCE ALEX 3.45.
Sheikh Ahmed Al Maktoum (24%) have a single runner in TERAABB 4.15.
Pertinence & Pertaining
1.42 (Winning favs: 36%)
TROPICAL STORM (A Balding) trainer won this race in 2021 & 2022, David Probert rides
HAWAIIAN (R Hannon) trainer won this race in 2023, Sean Levey rides
REPOSADO (D F-Davis) £200,000 purchase, David Egan rides
2.12 (Winning favs: 21%)
BUCCABAY (E Johnson-Houghton) beaten favourite last time out, Mia Nicholls rides
DIVINE LIBRA (C Hills) beaten favourite last time out, William Buick rides
WILTSHIRE (W Haggas) formerly with M Meade, Tom Marquand rides
2.42 (Winning favs: 34%)
MAGIC DREAM (C Appleby) trainer 29% national average, William Buick rides
MISS ALPILLIES (E Walker) beaten favourite last time out, Saffie Osborne rides
LASTING LOVE (A Balding) drops from Class 2 to Class 4, Oisin Murphy rides
3.12 (Winning favs: 34%)
ARABIAN TRIBE (C Appleby) trainer 29% national average, William Buick rides
MR HAMPSTEAD (R Varian) beaten favourite last time out, David Egan rides
TEMPLE CITY (K Burke) beaten favourite last time out, Clifford Lee rides
3.45 (Winning favs: 21%)
GRAND PROVIDENCE (A Balding) stays this trip well and fairly weighted, Oisin Murphy rides
L'ASTRONOME (H Palmer) drops from Group 3 to Class 2, Jason Hart rides
ROBERT JOHNSON (P Kirby) long traveller 247-miles, Connor Beasley rides
4.15 (Winning favs: 35%)
AL SHABAB STORM (A Balding) beaten favourite last time out, Richard Kingscote rides
AMERICAN BAY (H Charlton) beaten favourite last time out, David Probert rides
TELEMARK (S & E Crisford) beaten favourite last time out, drops from Group 3 to Class 2, Harry Davies rides
4.50 (Winning favs: 34%)
PROUD AND POWER (K Burke) Group 1 entry, Shane Foley rides
STAR STYLE (R Hannon) Group 1 entry, Pat Dobbs rides
TARQEEZ (R Varian) trainer excels first time out, Jim Crowley rides
There aren’t many fairer courses than Newbury, which is big and galloping, but, probably due to the woodland on the far side, it can sometimes ride a good bit softer down the back straight than it does in the home straight. There’s very little draw bias on the straight track and there’s no wonder so many trainers want to send their classy horses there. The one tricky start is the one up in the spur (the round 1m) and that can prove draw-dependent. Otherwise, you get very few hard-luck stories at Newbury.
– Jason Weaver
Paul Moon – The Racing Horse