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Thirsk Racecourse Template (Friday 22 July 2022)

The Racing Horse offers their Thirsk Racecourse Template for Friday 22 July 2022.

There is a 7-race card containing 5 Handicaps and 2 Novice Stakes Races.

The going is expected to be good to firm, good in places.

THIRSK FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap                    Handicap
2yo    31-76   41%   -0.41	5-17    29%    +0.88
3yo    39-68   57%  +10.58	30-100  30%    -9.33
4yo+    6-14   43%   +1.73	57-206  28%    -2.45
Total  76-158  48%  +11.91	92-323  28%   -10.91

TOP 5 TRAINERS at THIRSK 5 years             +/-   E
T Easterby (10%) 35-421   8%   -120.27       -2%   6
D O'Meara (12%)  31-237  13%    +34.23       +1%   2
R Fahey (11%)    30-239  13%    -15.89       +2%   0
K Ryan (12%)     22-157  14%     +4.87       +2%   0
M Dods (11%)     19-237   8%    -79.12       -3%   1

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at THIRSK 5 years              +/-   R
D Tudhope (17%)   37-188   20%   +42.73      +3%   0
D Allan (12%)     31-249   12%   -16.00      +0%   0
P Hanagan (12%)   20-135   15%   +13.98      +3%   0
K Stott (14%)     16-139   12%   -37.37      -2%   0
P Mulrennan (12%) 15-178    8%   -10.40      -4%   1

TOP 5 OWNERS at THIRSK 5 years               +/-   E
Godolphin (24%)        8-26   31%   +5.16    +7%   0
Hamd Al Maktoum (21%)  5-13   38%   -2.21   +17%   0
K&J Bloodstock (18%)   5-15   33%  +36.50   +15%   0
Mo Obaid Maktoum (20%) 5-18   28%   +5.75    +8%   0
Sir R Ogden (15%)      5-27   19%  +13.50    +4%   0

HOT TRAINERS 21/06/2022 to 20/07/2022        +/-   E 
W Haggas (23%)      24-83   29%    +2.17     +6%   1
S & E Crisford (19%) 9-35   26%    -0.07     +7%   1
K R Burke (13%)     16-82   20%   +25.42     +7%   1
M Appleby (11%)     12-79   15%    -1.00     +4%   1

COLD LIST TRAINERS:  SAW   E
M Channon (10%)       36   1
D & C Kubler (11%)    29   1
C & M Johnston (15%)  24   4

HOT JOCKEYS 21/06/2022 to 20/07/2022         +/-   R
C Planas (17%)   4-8    50%    +4.56        +33%   1
M Harley (13%)   6-21   29%    +7.66        +16%   2
S Donohoe (10%)  6-30   20%   +39.20        +10%   2
D Fentiman (7%)  8-47   17%   +40.00        +10%   3

COLD JOCKEYS     SAW   R
T Hamilton (8%)   40   1
D Keenan (8%)     38   2

Next fixtures
Friday 22 July 2022
Saturday 30 July 2022
Friday 5 August 2022
Friday 12 August 2022

COURSE: The round course is a left-handed, oval track, just over a mile and a quarter in extent, with a run-in of half a mile. There is a straight six-furlong course, which is slightly undulating throughout.

The round course itself is almost perfectly flat, but though the turns are relatively easy and the ground well levelled all round, the track is on the sharp side and by no means ideal for a horse that requires time to settle down, and time and space to get down to work in the straight.

On Course Profits free Horse Racing magazine

FAVOURITES: The sample size is small but all numbers have value. 

Winning favourites at Thirsk over the past 5 years show 168-481 for 34.93% (+1.00) so above the national average and producing a level stake profit. Favourites in non-handicaps show 76-158 for a big 48% and level stake profit of +11.91, the 3yos score 39-68 for 57% (+10.58).

TRAINERS: Top trainer at the track is Tim Easterby (10%) though heavily based on volume.

His 8% strike rate at the course and huge level stake loss of -120.27 makes it difficult to support his runners. He has 6 runners tomorrow on a weak card.

HOT TRAINERS:

We have 4 hot trainers with 1 runner each and they are of real interest, they include: 

PINK CRYSTAL 4.00 for William Haggas (184 miles), FAHARI 1.45 for S & E Crisford (185 miles), MISS BRAZEN 2.20 for K Burke & BOND BOY 3.25 (M Appleby)

JOCKEYS: Only Paul Mulrennan (12%) from our leader board has a ride at Thirsk tomorrow in COBRA KAI 3.25.

At the course this year the jockey shows 7-36 for 19% (+66.72)

HOT JOCKEYS: There are also 4 hot jockeys Connor Planas (17%), Martin Harley (13%), Stevie Donohue (10%) and Duran Fentiman (7%) with 8 rides between them, there must be a winner from this quartet!

COLD LIST JOCKEYS: Tony Hamilton (8%) catches the eye of the cold list. We are mindful he has ridden 601 winners (all time) for Richard Fahey at 11% and £6,644,714 in prize money.

He is clearly a better jockey than his national average suggests. We cannot see him coming off the cold list today from his 1 ride, but he has made it onto our keep an eye out pad! Does not appear to have any rides for Saturday…

OWNERS: Not one of the top 5 owners have a runner at Thirsk tomorrow.

BY THE WAY & SOMETHING STRANGE: The Racing Horse is a big fan of Rossa Ryan (13%) and with Ascot, Newmarket and York holding meetings, he comes to Thirsk instead to ride CANDLE OF HOPE 1.45. This 2yo filly is trained by Richard Hughes and owned by Her Majesty the Queen! Interesting that Richard Hughes has not had a runner at Thirsk to date, more bizarrely, had never ridden a winner at the course (from 7 rides) in his illustrious career.

Course inexperience apart, there is obviously a plan somewhere, I wonder what it is? The plot thickens because Rossa Ryan has only had 8 rides at the course himself.

His other three rides at Thirsk tomorrow include: METAHORSE 2.50, BALZALGETTE 3.25 & FANDABIDOZI 4.35.

1.10
DANDY SPIRIT (R Fell) winner in the past 7 days, Connor Planas rides
GULLANE ONE (T Easterby) trainer has won 2 of the last 6 runnings Brandon Wilkie rides
COLEY'S KOKO (N Tinkler) drops from Class 4 to Class 6, weighted to win 67 > 57, Sophie Clements rides 

1.45
CANDLE OF HOPE (R Hughes) First runner for trainer at course, travelled 224 miles, only winner in the field and RPR of 88, Rossa Ryan rides and 38% on favourites
HAUGHTY (A King) longest traveller 223 miles, Martin Harley rides
FAHARI (S & E Crisford) travels 185 miles and trainer shows profit of £11.99 when one runner at a meeting, Graham Lee rides

2.20
RUN CMC (G Tuer) drops from Class 2 to Class 5, P J McDonald rides

2.50
METAHORSE (M Bell) Highest rated and 7f to suit, Rossa Ryan rides and 38% on favourites

3.25
COBRA KAI (B Haslam) fairly treated, Paul Mulrennan's only ride
BAZALGETTE (M Channon) back down in trip, should come on for last run, Rossa Ryan rides

4.00
PINK CRYSTAL (W Haggas) beaten favourite last time out, trainer 21% with handicap debutants and 24% in mid-season, Stevie Donohue rides
EMERALDS PRIDE (M Dods) trainer shows profit of £50.15 when one runner at a meeting, Connor Beasley rides

4.35
STORMBREAKER (J Fanshawe) Significantly up in trip and expected to go close, Darragh Keenan rides
HELENISTA (T Easterby) very consistent filly 21212, Duran Fentiman rides.

Jason Weaver – Thirsk Racecourse

There’s quite an advantage in being close to the stands’ side rail on the sprint track at Thirsk and it can get congested there. The top turn on the round course catches some horses out – it’s an undulating left-hander – and you see quite a few lose their race there. Balance is critical at that point, as there’s a ridge that throws you out to the right, and, if you don’t meet it well, you can struggle the rest of the way round. If you’re on one that handles it, though, you can kick and get all your rivals in trouble. 

Featured Image: © Copyright Gordon Hatton and licensed for reuse under this Creative Commons Licence.

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