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Most bettors understand that the bookmaker Starting Price (SP) and the Betfair Starting Price (BSP) do not behave in the same way. Both are generated from the same race but from very different market mechanisms. SP reflects margin, trading between firms, liability management, and long-established conventions in odds-setting. BSP reflects the aggregated judgement of thousands…
Don’t you hate it when you back a horse in a race only to realise – often after the fact – that the trainer has more than one horse in the same race… and the one you didn’t back has won? It feels like a special kind of cosmic joke, one the form book never…
Exploring Distance Preparation in Flat Turf Racing The idea for this analysis came directly from the 2025 Gold Cup at Royal Ascot. In the build-up, John Gosden was emphatic: Trawlerman was the horse to beat, not necessarily the most talented, but the one most guaranteed to get every yard of the trip. That trip, of…
As we approach the middle of the summer, (why does that always seem to come round so quick??!), I want to look in detail at 2yo horses with the focus on their first four career starts. I am looking at UK Flat / All Weather race data covering 2017 to 2024 with profits and losses…
Betting for horse racing punters has changed drastically since the introduction of online betting coupled with the advent of Betfair Betting Exchange launched in 2000. Back in the 1980s and 90s punters had limited options in terms of betting with bookmakers as they could only bet in a betting shop or on course at the…