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Wolverhampton Racecourse Template (Friday 14 January 2022)

The Racing Horse offers their Wolverhampton Racecourse Template for Friday 14 January 2022. 

There is an 8- race card including 5 handicaps, 2 classified stakes and 1 maiden. 

The Tapeta going is standard.

Wolverhampton FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap                    Handicap
2yo   108-245 for 44% (-22.31)	46-110   for 42% (+41.00)
3yo   134-306 for 44% (-43.66)	204-613  for 33% (-40.79)
4yo+   79-168 for 47%  (+4.53)	323-1055 for 31% (-87.43)
TOTAL 321-719 for 45% (-61.44)	573-1778 for 32% (-87.22)
 
TOP 5 TRAINERS at course for 2021                +/-   E  
K R Burke (12%)  16-94  for 17% (+10.94)         +5%   4
M Johnston (15%) 16-122 for 13% (-17.97)         -2%   7
D Evans (10%)    16-131 for 12%  (-5.16)         +2%   2
R Hannon (12%)   15-96  for 16%  (+7.41)         +4%   1
C Cox (14%)      13-46  for 28% (+18.04)        +14%   0 

TOP 5 TRAINERS at course (past 5 years)          +/-   E 
D Evans (10%)     60-541 for 11%  (-60.69)       +1%   2
D Loughnane (11%) 56-453 for 12%   (-4.19)       +1%   1
T Carroll (10%)   53-495 for 11%  (-26.70)       +1%   3
M Johnston (15%)  52-416 for 13% (-107.90)       -2%   7
M Appleby (11%)   49-504 for 10% (-128.76)       -1%   2

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at course for 2021                 +/-   R
R Kingscote (14%) 29-179 for 16% (-51.47)        +2%   0
L Morris (9%)     26-221 for 12% (-52.72)        +3%   0
R Ryan (13%)      25-133 for 19% (+19.97)        +6%   0
D Probert (11%)   19-167 for 11% (-16.07)        +0%   4
H Doyle (14%)     18-147 for 12% (-51.91)        -2%   5
   
TOP 5 JOCKEYS at course (past 5 years)           +/-   R
L Morris (9%)     99-932 for 11% (-270.26)       +2%   0
R Kingscote (14%) 92-614 for 15% (-158.63)       +1%   0
D Probert (11%)   81-703 for 12%  (-20.33)       +1%   4
H Doyle (14%)     75-509 for 15%  (-29.93)       +1%   5
J Mitchell (16%)  69-366 for 19%  (-41.18)       +3%   0  

TOP 5 OWNERS at course (past 5 years)            +/-   E 
Godolphin (24%)        59-204 for 29% (-30.87)   +5%   0
Saeed Manana (16%)     30-142 for 21%  (-5.51)   +5%   0
Antony Brittain (8%)   23-292 for  8% (-98.66)   +0%   0
Ahmed Al Maktoum (24%) 19-63  for 30%  (-7.89)   +6%   0
Cheveley Park (17%)    19-92  for 21%  (+9.37)   +4%   0  

Hot Trainers 15/12/2021 to 14/01/2022            +/-   E
W Knight (11%)       3-6  for 50% (+17.70)      +39%   2
S & E Crisford (20%) 5-13 for 39% (+12.38)      +19%   2
W Haggas (22%)       8-21 for 38%  (-4.63)      +16%   1
K Burke (12%)       10-54 for 19%  (+0.90)       +7%   4
R Hannon (12%)       3-17 for 18%  (+6.70)       +6%   1

Trainer Cold List  SAW   E 
M Attwater (5%)	    64   2
S Dixon (7%)	    37   2
N Tinkler (10%)	    36   1
A Keatley (7%)	    21   2

Hot Jockeys 15/12/2021 to 14/01/2022           +/-   R 
J Fanning (14%)  3-10 for 30%  (+0.95)        +16%   3
H Burns (9%)     3-11 for 27%  (+0.03)        +18%   1
L Edmunds (9%)   3-12 for 25% (+45.50)        +16%   1
D Tudhope (17%) 10-50 for 20%  (+6.75)         +3%   1
W Carver (11%)   3-15 for 20%  (+4.50)         +9%   1
T Marquand (14%) 7-36 for 19% (-20.37)         +5%   5 

Jockeys Cold List  SAW   R
F McManoman (7%)    66   2       
C Hutchinson (8%)   49   1
W Cox (6%)          29   2
J Duern (6%)        28   1
E Mackenzie (9%)    28   1

FIXTURES
Friday 14 January 2022
Monday 17 January 2022
Saturday 22 January 2022
Monday 24 January 2022
Friday 28 January 2022


(%): National Average SAW: Since a winner E: Entries R: Rides

WINNING FAVOURITES: The strike rate of winning favourites at Wolverhampton continually surprises us given the amount of poor grade racing there. Could this be aggregation and wisdom of the crowd at work? The last 5-year figures show 894-2497 for 35.80% for a level stake loss of -148.66 so about 3% above the national average.

Best category for strike rate and profit are 4yo+ in non-handicaps showing 79-168 for 47% (+4.53). Winning non-handicap favourites across the board score 321-719 for 45%. Worst category is 4yo+ in handicaps with 323-1055 for 31% (-87.43).

On Course Profits free Horse Racing magazine

A rare statistical-type figure that we do not come across at a racecourse is the 2yo winning favourites in handicaps which is currently a high 46-110 for 42% (+41.00). We expect this anomaly to rectify itself in the currently year, though we cannot know this!

LEADING COURSE TRAINERS: The fact David Evans (10%), David Loughnane (11%), Tony Carroll (10%) and Michael Appleby (11%) fill 4 of the top 5 places on our 5-year leader board tells us plenty about the quality of horse racing here, but this information is more than useful to know. They have 8 entries between them and a winner will probably come from this grouping, it usually does.

HOT TRAINERS: Looking at the runners of hot trainers on the template is always a good starting point. William Knight (2), S & E Crisford (2), William Haggas (1), Karl Burke (4) and Richard Hannon (1) are bound to supply winners from their 10 entries at this meeting!

TRAINER COLD LIST: The trainer cold list offers very little information we can use on this occasion; one imagines their collective losing run of 0-158 will become 0-165 by the end of racing!

LEADING COURSE JOCKEYS: Leading course jockeys David Probert (4) and Hollie Doyle (5) look best placed to ride winners and one envisages at least two winners from this pairing.

HOT JOCKEYS: Strange that Danny Tudhope only has one ride at this meeting, Harry Burns, Lewis Edmunds and William Carver are hot jockeys and they have one ride also and all worth a look. Other hot jockey Tom Marquand has 5 rides and he almost certain to join Probert and Doyle on the podium.

JOCKEY COLD LIST: The jockey cold list offers very little information we can use on this occasion; one imagines their collective losing run of 0-200 will become 0-207 by the end of racing!

LEADING COURSE OWNERS: None of the top 5 owners at Wolverhampton have an entry.

4.30
CHIPIRON (I Furtado) winner in the last 7 days.

5.00
ACROSS THE NILE (J Ferguson) trainer 1-2 for last 14 days, and 25% in winter. Hollie Doyle rides who is 2-8 for 25% for the trainer.

5.30
ATTENTIVE (W Haggas) trainer 4-10 for 40% in last 14 days, and 30% at the track since 2018. Tom Marquand rides.
SAN FRANCISCO BAY (C Fellowes) trainer shows profit of £99.03 with horses running after a break, Jamie Spencer rides.
LA DUCHESSE (M Botti) trainer shows profit of £26.96 when one runner at a meeting, Hollie Doyle rides.

6.00
CHARLES ST (G Boughey) trainer is 20% with horses running 10f+.
CONVINCE (C Fellowes) drops from Class 3 to Class 5.

6.30
FAMOUS STAR
(S & E Crisford) trainer is 20% in winter and shows profit of £22.80 when one runner at a meeting, hot jockey Harry Burns rides.
NATE THE GREAT (A Balding) C&D winner, beaten favourite last time out,  hot jockey Tom Marquand rides.

7.00
THE TRON (D Shaw) winner in the last 7 days.
MR PC (A Carroll) trainer shows profit of £27.80 using first time headgear, Jason Watson rides.

7.30
COOLMEEN VEGA
(D O'Meara) formerly with Miss Ellmarie Holden, Jason Watson rides.
TAAQAT (J Tate) trainer is 18% with handicap debutants and 20% at the track since 2018, hot jockey Tom Marquand rides.

8.00
SHARE THE PROFITS
(W Knight) hot trainer 1-2 in last 14 days, 3-6 past month, hot jockey Tom Marquand rides and 35% on winning favourites.
ACCELERANDO (S Williams) formerly with S & E Crisford, Jason Hart rides.
BATTLE POINT (R Hannon) drops from Class 4 to Class 6, trainer shows profit of £33.70 when running horses over shorter trip, Danny Tudhope's only ride.

Wolverhampton’s 5f, 7f and extended 1m starts can be tricky from a jockey’s point of view, because they’re very much draw-dependent. It’s a big advantage being among the low, left-hand numbers. The 1m 4f start can also be a slight problem, but at least from there you’ve got a longer trip to get sorted out. Nobody went round the inside in the early days and, while I’m not sure it’s a disadvantage to be there now, most jocks still shy away from that rail. It’s a tight course, but well laid-out and very fair – Jason Weaver

Paul MoonThe Racing Horse

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