Note: If you would like to be added to our mailing list to receive these messages – Please Click Here
Those that signed up have had a little surprise in their inbox this morning — a secret bonus they weren't expecting.
I wasn't going to mention it, but we've had questions into support asking why a welcome email arrived "for something I didn't pay for." So here we are.
Anyone who joins today gets the same surprise. A bigger bonus for annual members, a smaller one for monthlies.
My point yesterday really goes to the heart of the big price/low strike rate vs small price/high strike rate argument.
Here's the thing most people miss: if you only need a 20-point bank to follow a service, a modest ROI can outperform a big one.
Take a service with a 32% strike rate and 11% ROI on a 20-point bank. After 200 bets, that bank has more than doubled.
Now take a service with a 30% ROI — but it needs a 100-point bank to ride out the losing runs. After the same 200 bets, the bank grows by 60%.
The bigger ROI service made more raw points — but you tied up five times the capital to get there. Stake the same £100 across both and the high strike rate service wins every time.
Executive summary: High strike rate = shorter losing runs = smaller bank needed = better return on your actual money.
Betting all my adult life, firstly at the greyhound track where my dad was a trainer more recently horses.
A fan of systems based betting which I've been practicing and writing about since 2004 which was the last time I had a real job.
Every time we run a tipping competition we uncover some amazing talent. Our summer competition is drawing to a close with three contenders who have shown a positive ROI in each of the three months and all with decent strike rates. Not withstanding a late surge the winner is expected to be either Connect 4…
The Dante Festival starts tomorrow and our Matt Russell has done a deep dive into the York data to find the angles that actually matter. Here are the highlights. The Duke of York Stakes — four filters, ten from ten Over the last ten runnings of this race, every single winner has been a 4…
Two things. If you're following the Geegeez/Dave Reham pace angle there is a qualifying race at Windor this afternoon where Ali Shuffle looks a stand out bet in the 2:10. Check my mail from Thursday if you don't know about that https://www.oncourseprofits.com/read-it-and-win-some-money/ Second I've got a bet from Pep's Big Race Tips. 15:05 Curragh My Mate…
It's Goodwood and Galway this week and I'm going to share some selections from our stable of tipsters and see if we can give you some winners. Alex has two today. He thinks that the 2:30 is set up for a strong finisher to come and scoop the prize at a big price. If you…
Good morning, I hope you had a good weekend, it was especially cold here but I didn't get rained on too much. Monday mornings are always busy catching up after a busy weekends racing but I have a couple of things to tell you. First up is a reminder that our monthly tipping competition kicks…
Happy Friday. Racing tonight at Pontefract — and it's a good excuse to flag something we've just consolidated onto one page: our complete draw bias guide, covering every major course in the country. You can find it here: Draw Bias — Course by Course Guide Pontefract is particularly worth knowing about. At the longer trips,…