Dutch play at Epsom

The Epsom Oaks is today — nine fillies go to post for one of the most prestigious races in the calendar.

The most notable absentee is Precise, the Irish 1,000 Guineas winner, who was pulled out after the ground eased to good to soft. 

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Our man John Burke at the Daily Punt has done a thorough preview and his key trends are worth knowing — all ten recent winners were rated 99 or above, most of these qualify on that score.

Had run within the last 45 days, all of these have.

And had finished first or second last time out. Amelia Earhart, Cameo, Legacy Link, Thundering On all qualify.

Interestingly, the Oaks odds sweet spot has been between 9/2 and 9/1, which goes against the favourite.

A big stat is that 11 of the last 12 runnings have been won by Aidan O'Brien or John Gosden, with only Dermot Weld spoiling that one in 2024.

O'Brien does have three entered though, if you wanted to dutch those three with the Gosden horse, Legacy Link, you can get 1.6 on Betfair currently that one of those four wins. Use our dutching calculator to work out your stakes.

All in all Aidan O'Brien's market leader ticks most of the boxes. She handled the turns well at Chester last time, she's a certain stayer, and the soft ground should play to her strengths. O'Brien has now won this race eleven times. She's the most likely winner.

But I'm seriously thinking about that dutching option, maybe in the place market as well, although I would need two of the four placed to make a profit.

Hmm something to think about.

Late News: I've just seen that Alex Peperell thinks there will be an upset and has tipped a big one each way!

Enjoy Oaks Day.

All the best

Darren Power

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