Losing runs suck
I'm going to talk about losing runs again today.
There's a lot of value to be found in big priced selections and a lot of joy when you land one at a huge price.
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The downside is the strike rate, it's gonna be low.
And a low strike rate means long losing runs.
Most people are surprised when they see just how long losing runs can be even at short odds.
We have a calculator for longest losing runs and it's good practice to put your numbers in there to see what losing runs you can expect and to calculate how big a bank you need.
For bank size have a read of Stephen's advice that I shared on Tuesday
Here's the numbers for Dan's Shorties, this is a short priced service (average price 5/2) with a high strike rate that finds value at the head of the market and which I consider a very consistent service.
It has an excellent 33.82% strike rate but in a thousand bets we can expect a longest losing run of 17.
We haven't had one that long, but if you know you couldn't cope with that there is no point joining!
If you can handle it and you put aside a big enough bank, like Stephen 👆, then it has been pretty much a guaranteed side income for members.
If you want to win you need to set aside a bank and when you have a profitable source of selections you need to understand and accept that there will be uncomfortable losing runs along with the jolly nice winning runs.
Use the calculator on your own bets - www.oncourseprofits.com/longest-losing-run-calculator/
If you want to join Dan's Shorties you can do that here - https://bluedelta.thrivecart.com/dans-shorties/
Tipping Competition
Do you fancy yourself as a horse racing tipster? Do you want to prove it to the world, well our little corner of the world?
Do you want to win a prize and maybe, if you can prove yourself over the long term, go pro as a tipster?
Register for April here - https://memberarea.co.uk/tipster_comp_entry_form/?id=856
If you are already competing in March you don't have to do anything just keep posting your selections.
That's all for today
All the best
Darren Power
PS This month's sponsor is Smart Value Tips which has averaged over £800 profit per month since commencement 7 months ago (£10 stakes BSP) - Click Here to Add Them to Your Portfolio
