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Newbury Horse Racing Tips for Today

The Racing Horse offers their Newbury Racecourse Template for Friday 1 December 2023. 

There is a 7-race card and the going is expected to be good to soft.

Winning Favourites (5 Years)
Non-handicap                    Handicap
Hurdle	41-70	 59%	+6.93	24-79	 30%    -7.74
Chase	14-26	 54%	+1.91	25-91	 27%   -20.01
NHF	10-28	 36%	-2.89	0-0	
TOTAL	65-124	 52%	+5.94	49-170	 29%   -27.75

TOP 5 TRAINERS at NEWBURY past 5 years        +/-   E
N Henderson (22%)    46-198   23%   +23.68    +1%   6
Paul Nicholls (24%)  38-161   24%   +23.64    +0%   6
Fergal O'Brien (19%) 14-86    16%    -2.95    -3%   3
Nigel T-Davies (15%) 10-61    16%    +6.18    +1%   0
Gary Moore (16%)     10-96    10%   +12.42    -6%   0

HOT TRAINERS 01/11/2023 to 30/11/2023         +/-   E
V Williams (17%)  18-53	  34%	 -0.39       +17%   3
S Humphrey (13%)  4-13	  31%	 +3.00       +18%   1
J Snowden (18%)	  10-33	  30%	 +3.88       +12%   1
K Bailey (16%)	  13-43	  30%	 -1.00       +14%   1
G Elliott (18%)	  46-175  26%	 +4.09        +8%   2
N Henderson (22%) 17-65	  26%	 -3.25        +4%   6
H Derham (25%)	  8-31	  26%	 -2.00        +1%   1

COLD LIST TRAINERS  SAW                             E
H Oliver (10%)	     25    43 days                  1
E Lavelle (15%)	     15    11 days                  3

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at NEWBURY past 5 years         +/-   E
H Cobden (23%)       36-152   24%  +19.04     +1%   5
N de Boinville (22%) 31-129   24%  +22.16     +2%   4
C Deutsch (14%)      9-29     31%  +43.00    +17%   3
P Brennan (20%)      7-35     20%   +6.21     +0%   1 
S T-Davies (15%)     6-34     18%   +2.10     +3%   4

HOT JOCKEYS 01/11/2023 to 30/11/2023          +/-   R
J Kennedy (14%)   27-71	  38%	 +0.94       +24%   1
N Boinville (22%) 15-52	  29%	 -3.25        +7%   4
C Deutsch (14%)	  15-53	  28%	 -3.00       +14%   3
P Brennan (20%)   7-25	  28%	 -5.00        +8%   1
H Cobden (23%)	  24-93	  26%	 -2.57        +3%   5
S T-Davies (15%)  14-65	  22%	 +1.40        +7%   4
G Sheehan (17%)	  17-80	  21%	 +1.88        +4%   2
J O'Neill (16%)   10-53	  19%	 +16.75       +3%   1
C Gethings (9%)	  9-49	  18%	 +12.01       +9%   3

COLD LIST JOCKEY    SAW                             R
T Bellamy (11%)	     23    11 days                  3
               
TOP 5 OWNERS at NEWBURY past 5 years          +/-   E
J P McManus (17%)     13-79   16%   -29.98    -1%   2
Munir & Souede (18%)  5-24    21%    -6.45    +3%   0
M C Denmark (24%)     4-5     80%   +14.37   +56%   0
Louisville Synd (14%) 4-8     50%   +23.00   +36%   0
Colm Donlon (25%)     4-12    33%    -2.25    +8%   0

FIXTURES:
Saturday 2 December 2023

COURSE: Left handed, galloping with few undulations. One of the fairest courses in the country, though its galloping nature does suit the big, long-striding type.

The chase course is regarded as being fairly stiff, though the casualty rate is no more than average compared to all GB tracks. Leaders are rarely overhauled on the chase run-in for all it often looks as though they might be, especially from the elbow.

The ground can vary from chase course to hurdles course, with the latter sometimes more testing.

FAVOURITES: Over the past 5-years winning favourites show 114-294 for 38.78% (-21.81) so almost +6% above the national average.

Winning favourites in handicaps score at 52% against 29% of those winning handicap favourites and a differential of 23%. Best category is non-handicap winning favourites who register 59%, worst category is handicap chasers at 27%.

TRAINERS: Two trainers saddling 12 runners will surely provide winners, the question is how many?

Paul Nicholls (24%) runs 3 beaten favourites last time out at the course on Friday. He has 6 entries in total at this stage including CENTARA 12.10, LALLYGAG 12.40, HERMES ALLEN 1.50, KANDOO KID 2.25, HUGOS NEW HORSE 3.00 & SIMPLY THE BETTES 3.35

Nicky Henderson (22%) also has 6 runners including JERIKO DU REPONET 12.10, RUSSIAN RULER & PERSIAN TIME 12.40, NO ORDINARY JOE 1.50, MARIE'S ROCK 3.00 & HYLAND 3.35

JOCKEYS: There are 9 hot jockeys riding the course tomorrow covering 24 rides and it is possible they will go through the card, failing that just miss out!

The 9 jockeys concerned are Jack Kennedy, Nico de Boinville, Charlie Deutsche, Paddy Brennan, Harry Cobden, Sam Twiston-Davies, Gavin Sheehan, Jonjo O'Neill Jnr and Ciaran Gethings.

OWNERS: From our leader board only J P McManus has runners, they are JERIKO DU REPONET 12.10 & NO ORDINARY JOE 1.50 both trained by Nicky Henderson and both ridden by Nico de Boinville.

Pertinence

12.10
JERIKO DU REPONET
(N Henderson) formerly with Colin S McKeever, trainer has won 6 of the past 10 runnings. Nico de Boinville rides – CENTARA (P Nicholls) drops from Grade 2 to Class 3, Harry Cobden rides

12.40
DJELO
(V Williams) looked some way ahead of his mark when scoring at Aintree last month. Charlie Deutsch rides – PERSIAN TIME (N Henderson) first handicap start for in form yard, Nico de Boinville rides
LALLYGAG (P Nicholls*) brother to very smart chaser Lalor proved a useful novice hurdler last season, winning 3, race fit now. Harry Cobden rides

1.15
RUE DE LA MER
(D Skelton) formerly with F Vermeulen, Harry Skelton rides
MAX OF STARS (O Pears) fourth success from 6 starts when making all at Market Rasen in September.
WODHOOH (G Elliott) Pacafi status, Jack Kennedy rides and 45% on hurdling favourites

1.50
HERMES ALLEN
(P Nicholls*) beaten favourite last time out, trainer has won 2 of the last 10 runnings. Harry Cobden rides
NICKLE BACK (S Humphrey) trainer +£31.88 when one runner at a meeting (chases), James Best rides

2.25
KANDOO KID
(P Nicholls) beaten favourite last time out, produced best effort when close 2nd over C&D 3 weeks ago, just failing. Harry Cobden rides SAIL AWAY (D Skelton) 3121 and another wind op since last run, Harry Skelton rides FRERO BANBOU (V Williams) trainer has won 2 of the last 4 runnings. Charlie Deutsche rides

3.00
DASHEL DRASHER
(J Scott) beaten favourite last time out, Rex Dingle rides
MARIE'S ROCK (N Henderson*) won well on last season's reappearance, will be a tough nut to crack if close to her best, Nico de Boinville rides

3.35
HYLAND
(N Henderson) In top form, making it 2-2 this season with cosy Cheltenham success and seeking hat-trick. Nico de Boinville rides. ED KEEPER (S Thomas) low-mileage hurdler going right way and clear of the remainder when runner-up at Ascot last time. Unlikely to have finished improving, boasts strong claims up in trip. Sam Twiston-Davies rides – RAMO (V Williams) progressive since upped to staying trips, added to stables excellent recent spell when grinding out victory at Ludlow 22 days ago. Charlie Deutsche rides

It’s among the fairest courses in the country and you get few hard-luck stories. There’s plenty of time during a race, with two very long straights and two sweeping bends, and you don’t often get too much shimmying or jockeying for position. If you’ve got the right horse, everything seems to happen nice and smoothly. The fences are very fair and, although the cross-fence used to claim a lot of victims, it’s nowhere near as bad now. Newbury is a great place for a novice and, unlike Cheltenham say, where the fences can be tricky for inexperienced horses, it’s really straightforward

– Mick Fitzgerald
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