Newbury Horse Racing Tips for Today
The Racing Horse offers their NEWBURY RACECOURSE TEMPLATE for Saturday 20 July 2024.
There is a 7-race card containing a Group 3, a Listed, a Class 2 Sprint Stakes (£128,907), 2 Novice Races and 2 Handicap Races.
Newbury FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicap Handicap
2yo 54-144 38% -18.00 5-16 31% -3.65
3yo 31-90 34% -22.99 42-127 33% -1.04
4yo+ 17-38 45% +6.26 31-132 23% -38.53
TOTAL 102-272 38% -34.73 78-275 28% -43.22
TOP 5 TRAINERS at NEWBURY past 5 years +/- E
Richard Hannon (11%) 42-407 10% -106.16 -1% 4
William Haggas (22%) 39-180 22% -16.65 +0% 5
Andrew Balding (15%) 26-230 11% +23.72 -4% 5
C Appleby (29%) 21-72 29% -2.30 +0% 1
J & T Gosden (21%) 21-117 18% -15.27 -3% 2
HOT TRAINERS 20/06/2024 to 19/07/2024 +/- E
C Appleby (29%) 15-45 33% -2.75 +4% 1
J & T Gosden (21%) 22-84 26% +0.44 +5% 2
Clive Cox (14%) 10-42 24% -5.00 +10% 4
TOP 5 JOCKEYS at NEWBURY past 5 years +/- R
Tom Marquand (15%) 42-247 17% -22.29 +2% 6
Oisin Murphy (19%) 39-191 19% +5.62 +0% 7
William Buick (23%) 32-178 18% -24.59 -5% 0
James Doyle (19%) 27-156 17% -24.57 -2% 0
Jim Crowley (18%) 26-149 17% +21.32 -1% 5
HOT JOCKEYS 20/06/2023 to 19/07/2024 +/- R
Oisin Murphy (19%) 36-148 24% +0.63 +5% 5
Rossa Ryan (16%) 18-94 19% +15.00 +3% 5
TOP 5 OWNERS at Newbury for past 5 years +/- E
Godolphin (25%) 24-113 21% -16.47 -4% 1
Shadwell Est (24%) 13-81 16% -1.76 -8% 4
Ahmed A Maktoum (24%) 10-48 21% +9.08 -3% 1
Amo Racing (17%) 10-55 18% -10.62 +1% 1
Juddmonte (23%) 10-59 17% -20.62 -6% 1
Fixtures
Thursday 25 July 2024
Friday 16 August 2024
Saturday 17 August 2024
Friday results not included
CONFIGURATION: Left handed, galloping. The straight mile course is undulating throughout. One of the fairest courses in the country, though its galloping nature makes it ideal for the big, long-striding type, and the track becomes testing in inclement weather.
Whilst the majority of the action on the straight course usually takes place on the stand rail, those who choose to come down the centre of the track instead can find themselves at an advantage.
FAVOURITES: Newbury Racecourse is unusual in that it provides as many non-handicap races to handicap races.
Over the past 5 years winning favourites at the course show 180-547 for 32.91% for a level stake loss of -77.95. The winning strike rate is around the national average, though the category of 3yo winning favourites in non-handicaps provides a poor return relative to other UK Racecourses.
TRAINERS: All of the top 5 trainers at the track have an interest tomorrow and from this aggregation (17 runners) we can expect a couple of winners but a stack of places!
JOCKEYS: Top jockeys at the course Tom Marquand (15%) has 6 rides including AL AASY 1.50, LAKE FOREST 3.00, MISS COLLADA 3.35, BOXTEL 4.10, FIOR DI BOSCO 4.45 & SUNFALL 5.20.
Oisin Murphy (19%) is second top jockey and he has 7 rides including SAVVY VICTORY 1.50, SPIRIT MIXER 2.25, QUINAULT 3.00, IT AIN'T TWO 3.35, THE WACO KID 4.10, BEATRICE SHILLING 4.45 & BATTLE QUEEN 5.20
Jim Crowley (18%) has 5 rides including ALYANAABI 1.50, NAQEEB 2.25, INVINCIBLE ANNICE 3.35, ELYAM 4.10 & TARAMASALATA 5.20
OWNERS: Each of the top 5 owners have runners tomorrow though Shadwell Estate (23%) have 4 runners including ALYANAABI & AL AASY 1.50, NAQEEB 2.25 and ELYAM 4.10 and it is safe to say they are guaranteed at least 1 winner!
Godolphin (25%) are top owners at the course albeit striking -4% below their national average, they run DUBAI MELODY 4.45 trained by Charlie Appleby and ridden by Rossa Ryan. Interesting this is the jockey's 4th ride for the trainer and currently 1-3. The jockey scores just 10% at Newbury (all-time figures) but one imagines his best effort tomorrow for this stable!
Pertinence and Pertaining
1.50
ALYANAABI (O Burrows) this 3yo drops from Group 1 to Listed, Trainer +£11.41 when one runner at a meeting. Jim Crowley rides
AL AASY (W Haggas) C&D winner and beaten favourite last time out, this 7yo has to give 9lb to the favourite. Trainer has won the last 2 runnings. Tom Marquand rides.
2.25 (Winning favourites: 23%)
KYLE OF LOCHALSH (H Morrison) course winner, better than ever when 3rd in 2m Royal Ascot handicap. Hollie Doyle rides
DANCING IN PARIS (I Williams) winner in the last 7 days and value for extra in 20-runner York handicap. Trainer has won 2 of the last 4 runnings. Kieran O'Neill rides
PRYDWEN (G Scott) drops from Group 1 to Class 2, Callum Shepherd rides
3.00
REGIONAL (E Bethell) looks ready to strike, Callum Rodriguez rides
COMMANCHE FALLS (M Dods) C&D winner, beaten favourite last time out, long traveller 257-miles, trainer +£41.28 when one runner at a meeting. Connor Beasley rides
ELITE STATUS (K Burke) took form up couple of levels when landing C&D Listed last time out. Clifford Lees rides
3.35
IT AIN'T TWO (H Palmer) Sandown Listed runner-up looks clear at the weights, Oisin Murphy rides
VINEGAARD (A Watson) trainer won this race in 2022, won on debut then ran well in the Windsor Castle, could be very good indeed. Hollie Doyle rides
MISS COLLADA (R Hannon) seeking hat-trick, trainer has won 4 of the last 10 runnings. Tom Marquand rides
TIME FOR SANDALS (H Eustace) made a most pleasing winning 6f start at Kempton but now drops back a furlong. Richard Kingscote rides
4.10
THE WACO KID (H Palmer) RPR 88 and good debut 4th over C&D, trainer 9-56 for 16% (+28.72) with 2yos this year. Oisin Murphy rides
PANENKA (C Cox) trainer won 2 of the last 4 runnings, Richard Kingscote rides
BRAVE MISSION (R Beckett) well bred. Dam was a 2yo 6f winner, Rossa Ryan rides
4.45
DUBAI MELODY (C Appleby) beaten favourite last time out, Rossa Ryan rides
LOVES LOVING (J & T Gosden) beaten favourite last time out, trainer 23% with horses running 10f+, Rob Havlin rides
MULLAVELLEY (J Chapple-Hyam) ran well on all 3 starts this season, drop back to 1¼m promising to suit. Hollie Doyle rides
5.20
BATTLE QUEEN (A Balding) runner-up in her group in Sandringham last month, of real interest eased in class and 2lb lower mark. Oisin Murphy rides
SUNFALL (W Haggas) trainer has won both of the last 2 runnings, remains with potential, Tom Marquand rides
There aren’t many fairer courses than Newbury, which is big and galloping, but, probably due to the woodland on the far side, it can sometimes ride a good bit softer down the back straight than it does in the home straight. There’s very little draw bias on the straight track and there’s no wonder so many trainers want to send their classy horses there. The one tricky start is the one up in the spur (the round 1m) and that can prove draw-dependent. Otherwise, you get very few hard-luck stories at Newbury.
– Jason Weaver
Paul Moon – The Racing Horse