Will it ever end, yes!
I'm going to stop talking about NH Jumpers for a while, Pete has a good few members in now at the intro price and we're meeting up to talk about the long term pricing and other bits and pieces next week.
I suspect that people who got in for a year for £75 will be feeling very smug in a few weeks.
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There's something else that's been bothering me that I want to get off my chest.
It's regarding an email I sent in January that got me a lot of, let's say feedback. But also name calling and questioning of my integrity!
Basically the mail said that one of our sponsors was on a losing run and in my opinion this was a good time to get on board because I was confident that the servcie would recover. I've pasted the mail below.
Here is the chart of Dan's Shorties, which was the service in question, you can see the losing run in the W shaped section to the right and you can see the correction that got the profit back on track.
Since I sent the mail, where by the way not a single person joined, the profit has been £270 to £10 stakes at Betfair SP with a 36% strike rate.
Two things to learn from this. If a method works (Dan's method is 100% automated with no human/emotional input) there will be variance, ups and downs.
If you stick with it the long term trend will prevail.
The second thing is that this could be a bad time to join because the positive correction means you've missed the surge forward, but it's had three winners from four bets this week and it's only Wednesday.
Here's that original mail…
Losing runs, don't you just hate them.
I'm sure we've all given up on a winning strategy or tipster because of a long losing run only to check back a few months later to see that the run ended, they always end, that losses were recovered and that we missed out on a lot of profits. I know I have!
Back in the 90's there was a succesful tipping service that had a very simple strategy for picking their selections.
I can't rememember the name of it, but maybe a reader will recall.
The strategy was simply to follow all the tipsters in the daily racing paper naps competition. Not sure if this was the Racing Post or the Sporting Life, which for any young uns was an actual broadsheet racing newspaper better than the Racing Post in my opinion.
Anyway the tipster kept track of the longest losing run for each newspaper tipster and when they matched their longest ever losing run he would start backing their selections.
The logic being that every losing run has to end and when it does there is usually a flurry of winners to bring the profit back to the long term trend.
Most people won't go near a tipster on a long losing run, but a few times over the years I've gone against the crowd and got on board with a tipster on a losing run and it's worked out well for me.
Anyway this came to mind because our sponsor this month is on a losing run of 13.
Last month Dan was the guest tipster for Platinum members and made a very nice profit, but some of that has been loaned back to the bookies on Betfair by members who sigend up for January.
If I wasn't already betting these selections everyday I would get on board now ready for the expected winning run, as it is I'm going to up my stakes.
Click here to join Dan's Shorties - https://bluedelta.thrivecart.com/dans-shorties/
All the best
Darren Power
PS This month's sponsor is Travelling Profits a highly profitable service for the budget conscious punter - Click Here to Add Them to Your Portfolio
