Long drive to York
If you missed yesterday's mail with your Dante cheat sheet you can read that here - https://www.oncourseprofits.com/your-york-dante-cheat-sheet/
We also shared some York notes on our Facebook and Instagram.
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This morning I was looking through the free longest travellers list we share each day and I wondered are long travelling horses more profitable to follow at big festivals or less profitable?
My initial thought was that they would be less profitable.
My thinking was that a lot of owners would pay to send their horses to York this week just to run at the big event and the usual idea that a trainer found an easy race for their horse at York is frankly hilarious!
So I ran the numbers and here's what I found…
If you'd backed every horse that travelled over 200 miles to run at the York Dante meeting last year you would have had 54 bets and made a 21.23 points profit at Betfair SP which is a 39% ROI.
In 2024 it would have been a 5% ROI and in 2023 a 13% ROI.
If you only bet in non handicaps where the forecast price is 16/1 or shorter you get 88%, 59% and 35%.
The bad news is that, that profile was zero from 20 bets in 2022. I don't know if something was different that year, I can't remember anything?
2021 was a bumper year again with 322% ROI.
There are three non handicap races at York today and eight runners that fit that profile.
If you want to see today's longest travellers you can get the list here…
https://www.oncourseprofits.com/trainers-who-send-their-runners-on-long-journeys-to-race/
If you want to know which of the longest travellers we are betting each day check out Travelling Profits - https://secure.oncourseprofits.com/travelling-profits/
All the best
Darren Power
PS This month's sponsor is Win Big Golf, WBG bet once a week on a Wednesday afternoon and they are landing some huge priced winners and have made over 500 points profit already this year - Click Here to Add Them to Your Portfolio
