Windsor Racecourse
Windsor Racecourse or Royal Windsor Racecourse as it’s also known is located in Berkshire, England. It is one of two figure of eight courses in the UK, Fontwell Park being the other one. It is set on its own island by the banks of the River Thames. It is well known for its Monday night racing that runs on most Monday evenings from May until mid September. It also recently reintroduced National Hunt races a couple of years back.
Let’s start with the limited National Hunt data. As far as it goes the races at Windsor since the reintroduction have been three to four meetings over the past two or three years. A total of 22 races were run during 2025 and another 22 have taken place this January and there is another scheduled for the 14th November this year. Really not enough data to work with but using the dig function at Horseracebase.com there is a little table below of the jockey and trainer combos that have had a bit of success to date. Any horses featuring these combos at Windsor would certainly warrant a closer look. There are five pairings who have done pretty well so far since the return.
With just those few meetings to work with let’s now turn our attention to the Flat and the table below shows the past six years of data at Windsor.
As you can see the past four years has seen 165 to 185 races so plenty of data to have a look through.
What is quite interesting is three of the six years have seen a win profit had you backed every horse so there are evidently nice outsiders landing here and there. We’ll take a look at that and see if there is anything to be gleaned from it or whether it’s just a couple of huge BSP winners, which is probably more likely to be the case.
The strike rate suggests 9-10 runners is the average field size.
Using a BSP of over 20, let’s take a look at outsiders now just to see what that throws up and to see whether it is indeed a couple of big BSP winners in those profitable years or not.
This would appear to be the case as the same three years are profitable as before. It is interesting that each of the last three years have improved, even the losing one, which has gained 55 points.
This is also very interesting.
Novices are clearly where the outsiders rarely trouble the judge at Windsor, although with the loss at -379 from 964 runners there’s definitely a couple of very big ones in those measly seven winners.
Anyway, let’s remove the Novices from our data to get a picture of what the overall years look like without them.
Age restriction wise this is the table after Novices have been removed. 4 year old plus races show a similar record to what the Novices did, in regards of those horses going off over 20 BSP. Let’s remove those as well.
A look at race class now and this tells us that the bottom end of the classes were where the 20+ BSP priced winners have come from.
A look at their last time out results shows that horses with a finishing position of 10th or worse in their last race, or failing to finish at all, mustered just 4 wins from 312 races, just a 1.2% strike rate and losses of 25 points.
If we remove those and leave ourselves with all those who either finished 1st to 9th or are having their first run, we get the following data.
There is something else on these that is intriguing as well. The monthly stats…
The start and end of the season both show losses and are the only two months to do so. Looking at just those months across the six years of our data, 2021 and 2024 show a profit of 13.34 and 17.12 points respectively, the other four are losses.
So, if we look at just May to September we get the following.
There’d be some very long waits in between winners here (longest losing run is 127!) and I certainly wouldn’t advise following it, but it makes for very interesting reading that betting blind on all horses with a BSP of over 20.00 with these few filters during these months has shown a six year profit.
With that BSP in mind let’s look at how the odds table looks before we move on.
Rather nice winner there in the 400-500 range! If you have a time machine, it came on the 4th September 2023 when Time Patrol won for AW Carroll ridden by Nicola Currie at an SP of 100/1 and a BSP of 431.93! Also landing with a handy place Place BSP of 80 as well!
A BSP of 20.01 to 50.00 looks the best range in terms of strike rate. There were 630 bets, 34 wins (5.40% strike rate) and a profit of 391.82 points from 2020 to 2025. All six years were profitable, with profit ranging from 5.32 points in 2020 to a high of 137.04 points in 2023. Four of the six years cleared 60 points of profit. Wins of course were still scarce although the longest losing run came way down to 68 with 49 the second worst.
What it does suggest though is that outsiders are worth a second look at Windsor on the Flat, particularly with these filters.
A look now to see what Trainers and Jockeys have shown up best at Windsor over the past six years.
All of the trainers in the table below have mustered at least 15 winners at the course between 2020 and 2025.
There are some very decent returns there.
As a group they were profitable in four of the six years if you were to have bet all their qualifiers blind with the biggest loss being -46 points in 2022. Richard Hannon Jnr has the most wins in the list at 42 but also the most bets by some margins as well. John Gosden has a very nice 32% strike rate and a very respectable profit running at an ROI of 38% so his qualifiers will always be worth considering here.
At the other end of this particular table Rod Millman might have 18 wins but he also has a huge loss overall.
Below is a list of jockeys who have managed 10 or more wins in the time frame.
Again, some nice returns there, William Buick’s record in particular is exceptional. However, he only had three rides there last season and drew a blank and had a very small profit in 2024 from not many rides either. The bulk of his best stuff here is prior to 2024. Based off his record then hopefully he’ll make a few more appearances there this coming season.
Let’s use the dig function to see if there are any good jockey trainer combos at Windsor.
There are some really nice combos there to watch out for if the partnerships crop up at Windsor this year.
Some may well not team up, Shoemark / Gosden for example but he did still ride 50 times for him in 2025 so it’s worth keeping on the list in case.
Crouch and Beckett certainly look a pairing to keep an eye on with an excellent 37.50% strike rate from 24 bets resulting in a 27.55 point profit.
The Marquand Morrison partnership has brought in some big money as well with 6 wins from just 15 rides result in a 49 point profit.
Let’s take a look at how some BSP odds ranges look now as we’ve already seen there are some nice outsiders going in every so often how does it look at the top end of the market?
That really isn’t bad at all!
994 favourites and just under 4 points down across the six years and had you bet on the BSP Place market you’d have turn a 37.24 points profit with some 67.41% of favourites placing. Of course, it wouldn’t all be plain sailing as we can see by the variance year to year. However, it does suggest there could be a bit of value to be found amongst the favourites, at BSP at least.
As you can see in the table below favourites by distance suggest that if you are a layer then the longer races might be worth looking at for selections. At the sprint end favourites have turned a 27+ point profit on win and almost 29 points on place in the same time frame. That really is quite a remarkable place profit on favourites considering that I would imagine most are going to be odds on. Limiting the BSP win odds to a maximum of 5.00 increases the profit by 10.39 pts using just the 5f and 6f races.
Below are some Trainers who have good records at Windsor in our data set when having the favourite in 5 or 6 furlong races. They would certainly be worthy of further inspection.
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