Horse Racing Tips for Redcar

The Racing Horse offers their Redcar Racecourse Template for Friday 14 October 2022. T

The meeting contains 3 Handicaps, 3 Novice Races and a Claiming Stakes.

The going is currently good to soft, soft in places, subject to change.

Redcar FAVOURITES (5 years)
Non-handicaps                 Handicaps
2yo   45-109   41%   +3.80    3-20     15%   -13.63
3yo   38-76    50%   +0.32    53-157   34%    -3.09
4yo+  13-34    38%   -8.10    51-192   27%   -35.19
Total 96-219   44%   -3.97    107-369  29%   -51.91

TOP 5 TRAINERS at Redcar past 5 years       +/-   E 
T Easterby (10%) 46-535    9%   -87.74      -1%   6
D O'Meara (12%)  32-250   13%    +0.46      +1%   4
R Fahey (11%)    28-272   10%   -75.04      -1%   3
M Dods (11%)     20-238    8%   -44.13      -3%   3
W Haggas (22%)   19-59    32%    -5.47     +10%   1   
           
TOP 5 JOCKEYS at Redcar past 5 years        +/-   R
D Allan (12%)   29-263   11%  +101.21       -1%   4
J Hart (12%)    27-191   14%    +7.71       +2%   0
D Tudhope (17%) 25-138   18%   -24.52       +1%   0
K Stott (14%)   19-143   13%   -18.67       -1%   0
C Beasley (12%) 19-176   11%   -18.67       -1%   0
 
TOP 5 OWNERS at Redcar past 5 years         +/-   E
Cheveley Park (17%)    6-22  27%   +1.05   +10%   2
Obaid Al Maktoum (20%) 5-18  28%   -5.62    +8%   2   
Dalmook Maktoum (25%)  4-9   44%   +5.10   +19%   0
I H Bendelow (17%)     4-10  40%  +12.25   +23%   0
Thor'bred Homes (9%)   4-14  29%  +20.00   +20%   0   

FIXTURES
Friday 14 October 2022
Monday 24 October 2022
Tuesday 1 November 2022

(%): National Average E: Entries R: Rides

FAVOURITES

Winning favourites at Redcar over the past 5 years show 203-588 for 34.52% (-55.88) so above the national average. Albeit from a small sample, non-handicap 3yo winning favourites do best scoring at 38-76 for 50% (+0.32).

TRAINERS

Tim Easterby (10%) trains just 35 miles from the Redcar racecourse yet scores way below his national average. He is neither punter friendly nor conducive to profit and we refuse to get involved with his shenanigans! We believe he uses his local course for schooling and work, his figures probably prove it showing a return of 146-1920 for 8% (-600.23).

His Redcar strike rate is 20% down on his national average and a huge drop relatively speaking! His current year figures at the course are 7-106 for less than 7%. For the record, another course he performs particularly badly is on the Newcastle AW which shows 26-434 for 6% (-183.38). Who would have a horse trained by him? On Friday he has 6 runners.

Richard Fahey (11%) is a neighbour of Easterby, and also a volume trainer with low strike rate. He scores 10% at the course so also below his national average and has 3 runners tomorrow.

Roger Varian (20%) continues in red-hot form and is currently 27-109 for 25% (+13.51), he has 2 runners in TAWAFAG 1.59 & PRAKASA 4.50, so both are worth a look.

Andrew Balding (15%) makes the 271-mile trip with 2 runners whilst H &R Charlton (18%) brings 1 runner a distance of 265-miles.

JOCKEYS

Dougie Costello (7%) is riding well and on a good run showing 8-38 for 21% (+48.50). Be assured he is not a 7% jockey and we have trusted him twice before with a Pacafi for 2-2. He rides MISS CALCULATION 4.19 who is drawn on the right side of the course with 20 runners competing.

Two jockeys in the doldrums are Trevor Whelan (8%) who is 43 rides without a winner and has just 1 ride, whilst Jason Watson (13%) is 30 without a winner and has 5 rides.

OWNERS

Cheveley Park Stud (17%) have 2 runners tomorrow in DAY MEMBER 1.25 & COMPLIANT 4.50

Obaid Al Maktoum (20%) also has 2 runners in QUINTUS ARRIUS 1.59 & PRAKASA 4.50

BY THE WAY: Members know we are not a fan of the Tim Easterby's of this world but take this opportunity to remind he is currently 99-1243 for 8% (-453.95) at Haydock so 1 away from 100. Tomorrow, he has 2 runners there including PREMIER OPTION 1.40 & SNASH 2.50.

BY THE WAY 2: Kevin Stott (14%) is riding better than ever these days and rides Redcar well, but it is significant he has 8 rides at Newcastle and could be the jockey to follow there. Stop at a winner?

BY THE WAY 3: We are not sure why the top trainers and owners do not target the course with horses running up to a mile, given that part of the course is perfectly flat and fair. The course drains well though we readily accept the bottom turn is a nightmare for races further than a mile (see racecourse map).

1.25
CLARENTINA (R Fahey) trainer has won 2 of the last 4 runnings and 3 of the last 10 of this race, Oisin Orr rides
DAY MEMBER (W Haggas) trainer's only runner and 22% with horses 7f up to 10f, Adam Faragher (5) rides

1.59
TAWAFAG (R Varian) trainer 21% with sprinters, Andrea Atzeni rides
COLNAGO (K Burke) beaten favourite last time out, Sam James rides
DYED IN THE WOOL (R Fahey) trainer has won 2 of the last 4 runnings, Oisin Orr rides

2.34
LUDUS (H & R Charlton) long traveller 266-miles, trainer shows profit of £31.44 when one runner at a meeting, Trevor Whelan rides
WINKLEVI (P Evans) drops from Class 2 to Class 5, weighted to win 69 > 64, P J McDonald rides
GORDONS AURA (Sir M Prescott) beaten favourite last time out, trainer 25% with horses racing over 10f+, Darragh Keenan rides

3.09
LERWICK (E Bethell) beaten favourite last time out, Andrea Atzeni rides
SIDNEY'S SON (N Tinkler) trainer shows profit of £35.00 with debutants, Rowan Scott rides
CAVERN CLUB (M Botti) trainer shows profit of £55.06 when 1 runner at a meeting, Stefano Cherchi (3) rides

3.44
PLAYUPSKYBLUES (A Haynes) repeat of 3rd at Yarmouth might be enough, race looked stronger, gelded since, Kieran O'Neill rides
CAMUSDARACH (C & M Johnston) trainer shows profit of £26.90 with horses running after a break, Franny Norton rides
SENSEOFENTITLEMENT (D O'Meara) trainer shows profit of £12.37 after running on Turf for the first time since running on the AW, Jason Watson rides

4.19
FLYING PURSUIT (T Easterby) beaten favourite last time out, weighted to win 85 > 60, Brandon Wilkie rides
BLAZING SON (B Smart) beaten favourite last time out, Mark Winn rides
EXCEEDINGLY SONIC (M Dods) formerly with G Scott, beaten favourite last time out, Darragh Keenan rides
ASMUND (D Carroll) C&D winner, weighted to win 62 > 57, Harrison Shaw rides
CHEVELEYS (D O'Meara) weighted to win 70 > 64, Jason Watson rides
ELLADORA (K Scott) weighted to win 60 > 52, trainer shows profit of £15.25 when 1 runner at a meeting, P J McDonald rides

4.50
KINGSOFTHEMIDLANDS (A Balding) drops from Class 3 to Class 5, first time blinkers, Andrea Atzeni rides
PRAKASA (R Varian) red-hot trainer, looked rough around the edges when successful at Kempton, she looks improver, Ray Dawson rides
ZARABANDA (D O'Meara) trainer shows profit of £12.37 with horses running on Turf first time after running on AW previously, Jason Watson rides

5.20
SHE'S GOT BOTTLE (R Fell) beaten favourite last time out, Miss Amy Collier rides
ROYAL COUNTESS (R M Smith) weighted to win 53 > 48, Miss Becky Smith rides
MENIN GATE (A Watson) weighted to win 64 > 53, Ms Brodie Hampson rides

A few ridges have developed at Redcar over the years, and you definitely need to keep on the right side of those. The bottom turn is tricky to navigate too – there’s been more than one problem there – and the straight rides tremendously long. So, although its flat enough, races seem to change three or four times after the home turn. If you happen to be in front with one breathing down your neck, you have little chance of getting home, so patience is the key. Playing your cards late is the best option – Jason Weaver

Paul Moon – The Racing Horse