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Trainer Track Profiles: The Jumps (2021/22)

Cheltenham 2023 day 1 selections

This month Josh Wright from racingtoprofit.co.uk shares an excerpt from his Trainer Track Profiles – Jumps report…

Thanks for reading my brand new report, its purpose is simple – to help save you time, find more winners and have more fun! 😊

Inside you can find trainer based micro systems & angles for the 35 UK racecourses which stage ‘winter’ jumps racing (October-End April).

I have excluded the ‘summer’ tracks; Cartmel, Newton Abbot, Perth, Stratford, Worcester.

Rather than writing copious amounts explaining what follows, I have recorded a quick ‘over the shoulder’ video which explains all you need to know, including how I researched the stats in Horse Race Base

On Course Profits free Horse Racing magazine

Below you can find a ‘Trainer Track Profile’ for each course. These include 76 ‘micro systems’ -the daily ‘qualifiers’ will be posted within my Members Daily Posts the evening before the next day’s racing.

There then follows ‘micro angles’ of note against my unique template, which you can find below. You’re free to use these micro angles in any way you please, highlighting a daily list of ‘qualifiers’ you can use a ‘way in’ or ‘starting point’, before further analysis.

As I said, I explain everything you need to know in the quick video above.

The quickest way to find a particular racecourse is to open this document and press ‘Ctrl’ ‘F’ on your keyboard at the same time, using the ‘navigation/find’ toolbar, typing in the track. That way you can jump straight to it. The courses are listed alphabetically.

I hope this report, and the hours of research that has gone into it, adds to your horse racing experience this winter, saves you time and with any luck helps you back more winners.

Template

Below is the template I’ve used for each course, as a guide. If I couldn’t’ find any stats of interest for a section, they were removed.

For the purposes of the research, I used an odds cap of 14/1 or shorter starting price, unless stated. The 14/1 cap is applicable to all ‘Trainer Stats’ and ‘Trainer/Jockey Combo’ sections, with many of the ‘Trainer Micro Systems’ having different odds parameters or none.

Odds caps are only ever a guide, and there will be horses winning above the 14/1 cap I used, but this allowed me to cut out plenty of losing bets and focus on angles that would be most useful.

If you use the micro angles as a ‘way in’, you can obviously judge on a horse by horse basis and I wouldn’t just exclude those over 14/1 as a rule, but that is up to you.

All research goes back to the start of 2013 where available, eight full years of data and 2021 to date.

Do also note, for any ‘handicap’ section below, the stats refer to ‘ALL’ handicaps unless stated.

There are two main types of jumps handicaps, as classified in Horse Race Base (which is what I used for the research), ‘standard handicaps’ and ‘novice handicaps’.

The handicap stats include both, and include selling handicaps and others, unless stated. If you see ‘standard’, this refers to standard handicap hurdles and chases only.

I explain this in more depth in the video link above.

Trainer Micro Systems

XX

Trainer Stats

All Races

All Handicaps

Handicap Hurdles

Handicap Chases

Non-Handicaps

Trainer/Jockey Combos

All Races

All Handicaps

Handicap Hurdles

Handicap Chases

Non-Handicaps

ASCOT

Trainer Micro Systems

#3 Dan Skelton

  • All handicaps
  • Jockey: H Skelton or B Andrews
  • 14/1< SP

#4 David Pipe

  • All races
  • 14/1< SP

#5 Harry Fry

  • All hurdle races
  • 14/1< SP

Trainer Stats 

All handicaps

  • Dr R Newland: 31 bets / 8 wins / 13p / 26% sr / +21 SP / +28 BFSP / BF AE 1.73
  • P Nicholls/Class 3/Standard: 24 bets / 7 wins / 12p / 29% sr / +24 SP / +31 BFSP / BF AE 1.85
  • V Williams/Age 5-6: 28 bets / 9 wins / 11p / 32% sr / +35 SP / +43 BFSP / BF AE 1.88

Handicap Hurdles

  • N Henderson/Age 5-7: 43 bets / 9 wins / 17p / 21% sr / +26 SP / +40 BFSP / BF AE 1.46

Handicap Chases

  • G Moore/1+ run this season: 16 bets / 5 wins / 8p/ 31% sr / +29 SP / +35 BFSP / BF AE 2.28

Non-Handicaps

  • N Henderson/Novice Chase: 11 bets / 6 wins / 8p / 55% sr / +5 SP / +6 BFSP / BF AE 1.36
  • H Fry/Hurdles (not novice/maiden): 12 bets / 9 wins / 10p / 75% sr / +17 SP / +19 BFSP/ BF AE 2.45

Trainer/Jockey Combos

All races

  • K Bailey/D Bass/All Chases: 14 bets / 5 wins / 8p / 36% sr / +12 SP / +15 BFSP / BF AE 1.66

CHELTENHAM

(Stats exclude March/The Festival)

Trainer Micro Systems

#17 Alan King

  • Class 1
  • Distance: 2m4.5f or shorter
  • 16/1 or shorter SP

#18 Nigel Twiston-Davies

  • Distance: 3m -3m ½ f
  • Age 5-8
  • 14/1 or shorter SP

#19 Jonjo O’Neill

  • All Class 2 races
  • Any odds (12/1 + : 2/22, 4p, +41 BFSP)

#20 Fergal O’Brien

  • All Handicaps
  • Age 8, 9 or 10
  • 18/1 or shorter SP

#21 Nicky Henderson

  • Jockey: Nico De Boinville
  • All races (excluding Handicap Chases)
  • October, November, December
  • 16/1 or shorter SP

Trainer Stats

All Races

  • N Williams/Class 1: 20 bets / 6 wins / 10p / 30% sr / +15 SP / +20 BFSP / BFAE 2.05
  • M Keighley/Hurdles/Age 5-6: 20 bets / 7 wins / 10p / 35% sr / +28 SP / +33 BFSP / BFAE 2.9
  • E Williams/Age 7-8: 20 bets / 5 wins / 11p/ 25% sr / +13 SP / +18 BFSP / BFAE 2.18

All Handicaps

  • K Lee: 25 bets / 6 wins / 13p / 24% sr / +17 SP / +24 BFSP / BFAE 1.83

Handicap Hurdles

  • A King: 21 bets / 6 wins / 7p / 29% sr / +19 SP / +23 BFSP / BFAE 2.25
  • Dr Newland: 26 bets / 5 wins / 11p / 19% sr / +24 SP / +35 BFSP / BFAE 1.77

Handicap Chases

  • M Scudamore: 18 bets / 5 wins / 5p / 28% sr / +33 SP / +37 BFSP / BFAE 2.38

Non-Handicaps

  • D Pipe/Novice Hurdles: 15 bets / 9 wins / 10p/ 60% sr / +13 SP / +16 BFSP / BFAE 2.02
  • C Tizzard/Novice Hurdle/Novice Chase: 52 bets / 16 wins / 23p / 31% sr / +18 SP / +21 BFSP / BFAE 1.56
  • N Henderson/Chase (not novice): 10 bets / 5 wins / 5p / 50% sr / +7 SP / +8 BFSP / BFAE 1.84

Trainer/Jockey Combos

All Races

  • P Nicholls/B Frost/All Chases: 11 bets / 6 wins / 7p / 55% sr / +22 SP / +26 BFSP / BFAE 3.61

All Handicaps

  • K Lee/R Patrick: 12 bets / 5 wins / 10p / 42% sr / +26 SP / +32 BFSP / BFAE 3.03

KEMPTON

Trainer Micro Systems

#47 Tom George

  • All Handicaps
  • Horse Aged 6-9
  • 14/1 or shorter SP (bigger; 0/9,0p) 

Trainer Stats

All Races

  • H Fry/16-20.5f: 46 bets / 16 wins / 26p / 35% sr/ +30 SP / +40 BFSP / BFAE 1.75
  • N Twiston-Davies/16-16.5f: 26 bets / 8 wins / 15p / 31% sr / +9 SP / +21 BFSP / BFAE 1.35
  • N Twiston-Davies/Class 4: 23 bets / 9 wins / 10p / 39% sr / +37 SP / +53 BFSP / BFAE 2.47
  • O Sherwood/21f + : 29 bets / 8 wins / 11p / 28% sr / +31 SP / +44 BFSP / BFAE 1.93
  • A King/20-20.5f: 20 bets / 6 wins / 7p / 30% sr / +9 SP / +12 BFSP / BFAE 1.53
  • C Tizzard/Class 1/24-24.5f: 23 bets / 6 wins / 13p / 26% sr / +13 SP / +17 BFSP / BFAE 1.5
  • L Wadham/Class 4: 13 bets / 5 wins / 9p / 38% sr / +8 SP / +10 BFSP / BFAE 2.17
  • I Williams/Age 5-6: 17 bets / 7 wins / 11p / 41% sr / +14 SP / +17 BFSP / BFAE 2.06
  • B Pauling/Age 6-8: 31 bets / 9 wins / 18p / 29% sr / +21 SP / +24 BFSP / BFAE 1.84
  • N Williams/Age 5-6: 14 bets / 5 wins / 8p / 36% sr / +8 SP / +12 BFSP / BFAE 1.89

All Handicaps

  • N Twiston-Davies/24-24.5f: 23 bets / 6 wins / 9p / 26% sr / +14 SP / +18 BFSP / BFAE 1.92

Handicap Hurdles

  • I Williams: 12 bets / 5 wins / 9p / 42% sr / +13 SP / +15 BFSP / BFAE 2.29

Handicap Chases

  • T George/Novice Hncps: 14 bets/ 6 wins / 8p / 43% sr / +14 SP / +16 BFSP / BFAE 2.2

Non-Handicaps

  • H Fry/ NHF: 14 bets / 6 wins / 10p / 43% sr / +28 SP / +35 BFSP / BFAE 2.96

Trainer/Jockey Combos

All Races

  • B Pauling/N De Boinville: 16 bets / 7 wins / 12p / 44% sr / +20 SP / +20 BFSP / BFAE 2.14
  • P Nicholls/B Frost: 19 bets / 7 wins / 12p / 37% sr / +7 SP / +11 BFSP / BFAE 1.43
  • Jonjo O’Neill/R McLernon: 15 bets / 5 wins / 8p / 33% sr / +14 SP / +20 BFSP / BFAE 2.15

That’s all for this month’s article.

If you’d like to get the rest of the report, including the full profiles for the other 32 UK ‘Winter’ Jumps Tracks, click below >>>

CLICK HERE FOR YOUR FREE COPY >>>

Josh Wright www.racingtoprofit.co.uk

Featured Image: (CC BY-SA 4.0)Poly Track Spray

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