Kempton Racing Tips for Today

The Racing Horse offers their Kempton AW Racecourse Template for Saturday 3 February 2024.

There is an 8-race card containing 6 Handicaps and 2 Maidens.

The Polytrack surface is expected to ride standard to slow.

Winning Favourites (5 Years)
Non-handicap                   Handicap
2yo   104-265	39%   -47.86   38-104	 37%	+3.21
3yo   118-243	49%   -12.38   126-417	 30%   -56.83
4yo+   41-97	42%    -7.89   208-671	 31%   -74.06
TOTAL 263-605	43%   -68.13   372-1192	 31%  -127.68

TOP 5 TRAINERS at KEMPTON past 5 years        +/-   E
Andrew Balding (15%)  71-447   16%    -3.61   +1%   2    
Charlie Appleby (29%) 63-191   33%   -36.58   +4%   0  
Roger Varian (20%)    58-242   24%   -24.35   +4%   0 
Richard Hannon (11%)  45-411   11%  -101.75   +0%   2   
J & T Gosden (21%)    40-196   20%   -38.32   -1%   0

TOP 5 TRAINERS at KEMPTON 2023                +/-   E
Andrew Balding (15%)  25-142  18%   -14.90    +3%   2  
Charlie Appleby (29%) 16-46   35%    +2.27    +6%   0  
Roger Varian (20%)    16-66   24%    -6.81    +4%   0 
James Fanshawe (14%)  14-61   23%    +0.75    +9%   0    
J & T Gosden (21%)    14-65   22%   -12.26    +1%   0

HOT TRAINERS 04/01/2024 to 02/02/2024         +/-   E
E J-Houghton (12%) 3-8	  38%	  +0.50      +26%   1
O Murphy (13%)	  11-51	  22%	  -3.00       +9%   1
P Evans (11%)	   6-32	  19%	+145.46       +8%   2
S C Williams (10%) 7-38	  18%	  +5.69       +8%   4

COLD TRAINERS       SAW                             E
J Butler (9%)	     33     27 days                 1
Murphy & Keady (8%)  30     89 days                 1

TOP 5 JOCKEYS at KEMPTON past 5 years         +/-   R
David Probert (12%)  85-715   12%    -46.76   +0%   7 
Oisin Murphy (19%)   71-364   20%    -43.22   +1%   0
Daniel Muscutt (13%) 71-529   13%   -103.88   +0%   5
William Buick (23%)  67-296   23%    -66.25   -1%   0
Hollie Doyle (15%)   67-478   14%   -107.80   -1%   7   
   
TOP 5 JOCKEYS at KEMPTON 2023                 +/-   R
Oisin Murphy (19%)   32-156   21%   -15.86    +2%   0
David Probert (12%)  23-147   16%   +75.85    +4%   7
Daniel Muscutt (13%) 22-147   15%   -48.67    +2%   5
William Buick (23%)  21-89    24%   -15.07    +1%   0
Rossa Ryan (16%)     18-128   14%   -29.53    -2%   4  

HOT JOCKEYS 04/01/2024 to 02/02/2024          +/-   R
Aidan Keeley (9%)  8-30	  27%	+6.32        +18%   1
Tommie Jakes (15%) 5-21	  24%	+7.35         +9%   1

COLD JOCKEY            SAW                          R
Harry Burns (10%)	58    161 days              1
Christian Howarth (8%)	56     84 days              1
            
TOP 5 OWNERS at Kempton past 5 years          +/-   E
Godolphin (25%)	     91-324   28%   -67.75    +3%   0
King Power (13%)     21-120   18%   -28.19    +5%   0
Shadwell Est (24%)   18-62    29%   +10.88    +5%   0
Hamdan Maktoum (21%) 14-66    21%   +57.68    +0%   0
Opulence Breds (18%) 13-45    29%    +8.69   +11%   1     
  
FIXTURES:	
Wednesday 7 February 2024		
Wednesday 14 February 2024		
Sunday 18 February 2024

CONFIGURATION: Kempton is a right-handed, Polytrack, flat, oval-shaped course with two loops. The inner circuit, used for races over 5f and 10f is sharp and has a finishing straight of just under 2f, favouring the speedy, handy type, markedly so over the minimum trip. The turn on the outer course is more sweeping and the straight is approximately 3f long, making for a fairer test. Over both 5f and 6f, there is a relatively short run to the first bend.

FAVOURITES: Kempton Racecourse Template offers us a huge sample giving the figures some real substance! Winning favourites at the course over the past 5-years show 635-1797 for 35.34% and a level stake loss of -195.81. Non-handicap winning favourites score at 43% as opposed to handicap favourites who score at 31% for a 12% differential.

BEST CATEGORY: 3yo NON-HANDICAPS 118-243 for 49% (-12.38)
WORST CATEGORY: 3yo HANDICAPS 126-417 for 30% (-56.83)

TRAINERS: Andrew Balding (15%) is top trainer at the course and has 2 runners including BELCAMO 5.45 & PAGE THREE 8.15 both to be ridden by David Probert.

JOCKEYS: There are 5 jockeys with 25 rides that need to be processed for win and place purposes. There must be multiple winners from this quintet! Hollie Doyle (15%) has 7 rides, David Probert (12%) has 7 also, Danny Muscutt (13%) has 5, Rossa Ryan (16%) has 4, and Joe Fanning (13%) makes the long trip down to ride 2 for Charlie Johnston. A par figure could be 4 winners from this grouping and a stack of places. Members are reminded of the figures of Hollie Doyle who has not fired since her return from Japan (7-79 for less than 9%) – bounce-back is imminent?

OWNERS: From our leader board only Opulence Thoroughbreds (18%) have a runner for this meeting in VOLKAN BEY 6.15 trained by Stuart Williams and ridden by Danny Muscutt. Despite a purchase price of €150,000 she has shown absolutely nothing after 3 runs and now races in the lowest grade class 6 handicap (0-55). At this stage we refuse to believe her runs reflect her ability, suffice it to say the market will be interesting. By the way, her 3 runs resulted in 9/9 at 66/1, 13/13 at 125/1 & 6/13 at 250/1.

Pertinence

4.45
GOT NO DOLLARS
(S Williams) winner last time out, Luke Catton (3) rides.
HUL AH BAH LOO (S Dow) Lingfield winner (8f) in November, returned to form when 4th in C&D handicap 10 days ago, Paddy Bradley rides.
NASIM (M Pattinson) given chance by handicapper, place claims, Connor Planas rides

5.15
MON ETOILE
(C Johnston) highest RPR and long traveller 246-miles, Joe Fanning rides.
BEAU GARS (J Osborne) formerly with W Kittow, Danny Muscutt rides.
PERFECTLY TIMED (A Watson) 6th on debut not knocked about, likely improver, Hollie Doyle rides.

5.45
COPPERSMITH
(C Johnston) bred to be above average, trainer +£14.70 with debutants, long traveller 246-miles, drawn 1, Joe Fanning rides.
REMONSTRATE (E Dunlop) 83 of Dark Angel's progeny have won on debut, Rob Havlin rides.
BELCAMO (A Balding) fair form in 3 starts so far, more improvement expected, David Probert rides.

6.15
TEA LEAF TED
(D F Davis) beaten favourite last time out, Kieran O'Neill rides.
VOLKAN BEY (S Williams) runs for Opulence Thoroughbreds, interesting, Danny Muscutt rides.
ASPIRE TO GLORY (A Haynes) C&D winner, seeking hat-trick, career best last time. Tommie Jakes (7) rides.

6.45
BEYOND EQUAL
(W Kittow) beaten favourite last time out, drops from Class 2 to Class 4, Dougie Costello rides.
REVOLUTIONISE (S Williams) C&D winner in the last 7 days, Rossa Ryan rides.
ULTRAMARINE (D Evans) C&D last month, forget latest run, Hollie Doyle rides.

7.15
PRYDWEN
(G Scott) last time out winner, Benoit Sayette rides.
ZEALANDIA (I Williams) last time out winner, Kieren O'Neill rides.
CITIZEN GENERAL (E Dunlop) ran creditably over C&D the last twice, latest when 2nd of 12 in handicap 28 days ago, running on. Rob Havlin rides.

7.45
JENN
I (D O'Meara) long traveller 269-miles, one to note now handicapping. David Probert rides.
MEDIA SHOOTER (K Burke) drops in grade after good 3rd after a break, Clifford Lee rides.

8.15
NIKKI'S GIRL
(E Dunlop) weighted to win 69 > 66, first time blinkers, Hollie Doyle rides.
LADY VALENTINE (M Appleby) trainer +£84.43 with horses running in first time headgear, dropped in the weights. Rossa Ryan rides.

The way the track is prepared at Kempton can play a massive part in whether it suits front-runners or horses coming from behind. Most of the time, the going is officially rated ‘standard’ but I know, from having ridden in America, that all artificial surfaces are dependent on weather conditions. An inside draw is a big advantage on the round course, as you don’t want to be running wide, and there’s a tendency for jockeys to get going a long from home. My preference would be to use patient tactics.

– Jason Weaver